Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 32

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday


	VfB Stuttgart II		VfR Aalen

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.1	4.75
	1.55	4.33	5
	1.56	4.79	4.69
	1.53	4.31	5.11
	1.55	4.1	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.3)	4.33 ↓ (5)	4.87 ↓ (7.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VfB Stuttgart II
59.8%

Draw
21.3%

VfR Aalen
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

18.2%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.1%

17%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VfB Stuttgart II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that VfB Stuttgart II's form might have worsened.

VfR Aalen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting VfR Aalen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VfB Stuttgart II than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for VfB Stuttgart II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VfR Aalen than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for VfR Aalen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

VfB Stuttgart II - VfR Aalen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, Drakas B. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stuttgart II won 2.

Stuttgart II is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aalen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Stuttgart II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Stuttgart II is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Stuttgart II to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Stuttgart II won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Stuttgart II won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
27.04.24	Stuttgarter Kickers - VfB Stuttgart II	2:2 ✺
21.04.24	VfB Stuttgart II - TSV Steinbach Haiger	4:3 ✺
14.04.24	Mainz II - VfB Stuttgart II	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	VfB Stuttgart II - Hessen Kassel	2:1 ✺
02.04.24	TuS Koblenz - VfB Stuttgart II	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTWW
- VfR Aalen
German Regionalliga Sudwest
28.04.24	VfR Aalen - FSV Frankfurt	1:3 ✺
20.04.24	Bahlinger - VfR Aalen	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	VfR Aalen - Schott Mainz	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - VfR Aalen	0:0 ✺
02.04.24	VfR Aalen - Hoffenheim II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
28.10.23	VfR Aalen - VfB Stuttgart II	2:2
31.03.23	VfR Aalen - VfB Stuttgart II	0:0
18.09.22	VfB Stuttgart II - VfR Aalen	3:1
18.03.22	VfR Aalen - VfB Stuttgart II	1:2
28.09.21	VfB Stuttgart II - VfR Aalen	1:2
20.03.21	VfR Aalen - VfB Stuttgart II	1:0
04.10.20	VfB Stuttgart II - VfR Aalen	2:2

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