Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 4

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Dr. José de Matos (Viana do Castelo)


	Vianense		Leça

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.1	2.48
	2.76	2.94	2.45
	2.83	2.91	2.53	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.4
	2.62	3.22	2.38
	2.33	3.2	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.33)	3.05 ↓ (3.33)	2.44 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vianense
34%

Draw
29.3%

Leça
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.3%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

27.7%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vianense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vianense's form might have worsened.

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vianense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Vianense - Leça Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
18', 0 - 1, Muale Nzanza D. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Brandao ⚽,
29', 1 - 2, Nuno Pereira ⚽,
31', 1 - 3, Reis N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
68', 2 - 3, Moninhas T. ⚽,
70', 3 - 3, Moninhas T. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 4, Santos N. ⚽,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vianense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Vianense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
10.05.26	Rebordosa - Vianense	0:3 ✺
03.05.26	Vianense - Bragança	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Leça - Vianense	4:2 ✺
18.04.26	Vianense - Limianos	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Desportivo Monção - Vianense	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWW
- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
10.05.26	Bragança - Leça	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Leça - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Leça - Vianense	4:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.04.26	Leça - Vila Real	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Rebordosa - Leça	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
26.04.26	Leça - Vianense	4:2

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