Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 3

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Bragança		Leça

	1	X	2
	3	2.98	2.25
	3.29	2.78	2.23
	3.41	2.62	2.39	Watch
	2.9	3	2.2
	3.28	2.83	2.26
	1.9	3.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (1.9)	2.92 ↓ (3.3)	2.46 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bragança
31%

Draw
31.5%

Leça
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

28.4%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bragança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bragança's form might have worsened.

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leça's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bragança than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bragança, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leça, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bragança - Leça Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Recently, Leça has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	GD Braganca	4	3	1	0	7:2	5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Bragança
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
03.05.26	Vianense - Bragança	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Bragança - Rebordosa	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Bragança - Vilaverdense	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Chaves B - Bragança	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Camacha - Bragança	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWTW
- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
03.05.26	Leça - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Leça - Vianense	4:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.04.26	Leça - Vila Real	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Rebordosa - Leça	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Leça - Aparecida	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLW

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