Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday


	Vibonese		Avellino

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.1	Watch
	4.5	3.15	1.75
	4.1	3.1	1.82
	4.89	3.32	1.75
	4.75	3.1	1.75
	4.8	3.28	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↑ (3.39)	3.16 ↑ (3.07)	1.82 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vibonese
20.9%

Draw
28.9%

Avellino
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

29.7%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

22.6%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vibonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vibonese's form might have worsened.

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avellino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vibonese than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avellino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vibonese - Avellino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Vibonese is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Avellino is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Avellino is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vibonese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Vibonese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vibonese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
05.12.21	Vibonese - Campobasso	2:0 ✺
28.11.21	Foggia - Vibonese	5:2 ✺
20.11.21	Vibonese - Nuova Monterosi	0:0 ✺
14.11.21	Bari - Vibonese	2:0 ✺
10.11.21	Catania - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTLL
- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
06.12.21	Avellino - Bari	1:1 ✺
28.11.21	Turris - Avellino	1:2 ✺
20.11.21	Avellino - Picerno	1:1 ✺
14.11.21	ACR Messina - Avellino	0:1 ✺
06.11.21	Avellino - Taranto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
17.04.21	Vibonese - Avellino	2:0
23.12.20	Avellino - Vibonese	1:0
12.01.20	Avellino - Vibonese	1:1
01.09.19	Vibonese - Avellino	0:1

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