The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avellino 49.1%
Draw 28.4%
Bari 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.7%
27.7%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
27.7%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
46.7%
26.7%
26.7%
Avellino - Bari Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Bari will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Avellino: 23.8% โ 76.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 56. Enrici P. 4. Izzo A. 63. Fontanarosa A. 6. Palmiero L. 20. Palumbo M. 24. Sounas D. 39. Besaggio M. 9. Patierno C. (C) 10. Russo R.
31. Cerofolini M. (G) 13. Mantovani V. (C) 30. Mane M. 26. Odenthal C. 93. Dorval M. 43. Nikolaou D. 18. Maggiore G. 27. Braunoder M. 28. Piscopo K. 11. Moncini G. 17. Rao E.
Substitutes
21. Armellino M. 14. Biasci T. 30. Daffara G. (G) 11. D'Andrea L. 99. Favilli A. 94. Insigne R. 16. Kumi J. 27. Le Borgne A. 2. Missori F. 8. Pandolfi L. 3. Sala M. 7. Tutino G.
80. Artioli F. 10. Bellomo N. 20. Cavuoti N. 90. Cuni M. 49. De Pieri G. 24. Dickmann L. 9. Gytkjaer C. 8. Pagano R. 1. Pissardo M. (G) 25. Pucino R. 37. Stabile G. 66. Traore D.
Coaches
Ballardini D.
Longo M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Patierno C. 🟨,
28', Mane M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Mane M. ↓, De Pieri G. ↑,
66', Rao E. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
66', Moncini G. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Besaggio M. ⚽,
71', Patierno C. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
72', Palmiero L. 🟨,
79', 2 - 0, Palumbo M. ⚽, Favilli A. (A),
80', Maggiore G. ↓, Artioli F. ↑,
81', Nikolaou D. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
81', Artioli F. 🟨,
86', Besaggio M. ↓, Missori F. ↑,
86', Russo R. ↓, Tutino G. ↑,
90+4', Sounas D. ↓, Le Borgne A. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 1.
Avellino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Bari is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Avellino is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Avellino: Milani A.
(Inactive)
Reale F.
(Muscle Injury)
Sgarbi L.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Bari: Darboe E.
(Thigh Injury)
Dickmann L.
(Inactive)
Esteves T.
(Inactive)
Sibilli G.
(Suspended)
Verreth M.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avellino won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Avellino won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).