The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castrumfavara 15.8%
Draw 25.2%
Savoia 59%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.6%
25.7%
52.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.2%
25.2%
53.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castrumfavara's form might have worsened.
Savoia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Savoia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castrumfavara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Savoia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Savoia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castrumfavara - Savoia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
26', 0 - 1, Nussbaumer D. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Scolaro M. ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, Meola F. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 3, Checa ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).
Castrumfavara has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Savoia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Savoia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Savoia is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Savoia will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castrumfavara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Watch
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