Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Savoia		Sambiase

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.85	5.3
	1.55	3.88	5.22	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.84
	1.53	3.8	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.88)	3.78 ↑ (3.2)	5.17 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Savoia
58.4%

Draw
24%

Sambiase
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

28.7%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

28.7%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Savoia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Savoia's performance.

Sambiase has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Savoia than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Savoia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambiase than the current prediction. (+5%)

Savoia - Sambiase Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Umbaca F. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Cosmano G. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 8).

Savoia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Sambiase has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Savoia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sambiase has had a series of home games.

In this match, Savoia is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Savoia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sambiase	6	4	1	1	10:5	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Savoia
Italian Serie D - Group I
01.02.26	Reggina - Savoia	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Savoia - Enna	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Paternò - Savoia	0:3 ✺
11.01.26	Savoia - Acireale	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Gela - Savoia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTWTW
- ASD Sambiase
Italian Serie D - Group I
01.02.26	Sambiase - Vigor Lamezia	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Sambiase - Ragusa	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Castrumfavara - Sambiase	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Sambiase - Gelbison Cilento	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Sambiase - Reggina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
05.10.25	Sambiase - Savoia	1:1

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