The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Victor San Marino 48.5%
Draw 26.9%
Progresso 24.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.8%
24.7%
23.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
24.2%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Victor San Marino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Progresso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victor San Marino than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Victor San Marino - Progresso Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Cancello R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
54', 1 - 1, Arlotti S. ⚽,
61', 1 - 2, ⚽,
73', 2 - 2, ⚽,
74', 2 - 3, ⚽,
82', 3 - 3, ⚽,
89', 3 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Victor San Marino will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Victor San Marino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Victor San Marino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.