Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA HAMBURG - ROUND 19

Date: 24 November 2023, Friday


	Victoria Hamburg		Düneberg

	1	X	2
	1.09	9	15	Watch
	1.1	10.24	13.4
	1.1	10.24	13.4
	1.04	9	15
	1.08	9.4	14.5
	1.09	9	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.34)	9.48 ↑ (5.5)	14.38 ↑ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria Hamburg
84.1%

Draw
9.6%

Düneberg
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

16.5%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

15.9%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria Hamburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Victoria Hamburg's performance.

Düneberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Düneberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Hamburg than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Victoria Hamburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Düneberg than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Düneberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Victoria Hamburg is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Düneberg is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Düneberg have a series of home games.

In this match Victoria Hamburg is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Victoria Hamburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria Hamburg
German Oberliga Hamburg
17.11.23	Süderelbe - Victoria Hamburg	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Halstenbek-Rellingen - Victoria Hamburg	1:2 ✺
03.11.23	Victoria Hamburg - HEBC Hamburg	2:2 ✺
29.10.23	Rugenbergen - Victoria Hamburg	3:2 ✺
13.10.23	Victoria Hamburg - ETSV Hamburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWTLT
- Düneberger SV
German Oberliga Hamburg
17.11.23	Düneberg - Altona	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Düneberg - ETSV Hamburg	1:5 ✺
28.10.23	Düneberg - Dassendorf	0:5 ✺
20.10.23	TuRa Harksheide - Düneberg	4:0 ✺
14.10.23	Düneberg - Türkiye Wilhelmsburg	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hamburg
05.08.23	Düneberg - Victoria Hamburg	1:2

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