Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Party-Rent-Arena (Rosport)


	Victoria Rosport		Swift Hesperange

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.05
	3.06	3.45	2.19
	3.05	3.48	2.12	Watch
	3.11	3.3	2.1
	2.9	3.25	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.54)	3.35 ↓ (3.41)	2.11 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria Rosport
29.8%

Draw
27.1%

Swift Hesperange
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

25.9%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria Rosport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Victoria Rosport's form might have worsened.

Swift Hesperange has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swift Hesperange's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria Rosport than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swift Hesperange than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Victoria Rosport - Swift Hesperange Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Burger N. (G) 10. Arslan M. 25. Baudry C. 4. Bechtold M. 2. Faldey J. 17. Jusic J. 9. Kyereh F. 7. Marques K. (C) 6. Rodrigues Fernandes G. 27. Steinbach J. 13. Vogel B.	40. Dupire G. (G) 8. Belliard H. 3. El Foukhari I. 5. Erkus E. 24. Herbin G. 28. Kaloga M. 9. Lespinasse L. 21. Nsombi G. 26. Prempeh J. (C) 15. Savane H. 36. Skenderovic K.
Substitutes
80. Camdzic A. 23. Francois M. 11. Goncalves S. 99. Jiang B. (G) 78. Skuka D. 8. Sousa R. 19. Trombini S.	89. Bochu N. 22. Drame S. 42. Kiambu C. (G) 2. Lizardo D. 11. Morabet M. 12. Neves E. 78. Tshiabuiye G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Bechtold M. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Arslan M. ⚽, Burger N. (A),
35', Lespinasse L. 🟨,
36', Erkus E. 🟨,
39', Marques K. ↓, Trombini S. ↑,
40', Herbin G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 2 - 0, Vogel B. ⚽, Kyereh F. (A),
58', Jusic J. 🟨,
63', Kyereh F. 🟨,
64', Savane H. 🟨,
73', Faldey J. 🟨,
73', Lespinasse L. ↓, Drame S. ↑,
73', Erkus E. ↓, Bochu N. ↑,
73', Kyereh F. ↓, Camdzic A. ↑,
80', Nsombi G. ↓, Morabet M. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Kaloga M. ⚽,
85', Belliard H. ↓, Tshiabuiye G. ↑,
85', Arslan M. ↓, Sousa R. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Savane H. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoria Rosport won 0.

A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.

Victoria Rosport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Swift Hesperange is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Victoria Rosport won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:23. (average 0.7:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Victoria Rosport won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Victoria Rosport
Luxembourg National Division
03.12.25	Victoria Rosport - F91 Dudelange	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Mondorf-les-Bains - Victoria Rosport	4:0 ✺
02.11.25	Jeunesse Esch - Victoria Rosport	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Victoria Rosport - Differdange 03	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Jeunesse Canach - Victoria Rosport	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLLL
- Swift Hesperange
Luxembourg National Division
03.12.25	Swift Hesperange - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Hostert - Swift Hesperange	1:1 ✺
26.11.25	Swift Hesperange - Racing Luxembourg	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	F91 Dudelange - Swift Hesperange	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Swift Hesperange - Jeunesse Esch	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
08.03.25	Victoria Rosport - Swift Hesperange	1:1
15.09.24	Swift Hesperange - Victoria Rosport	5:0
18.02.24	Victoria Rosport - Swift Hesperange	1:3
20.08.23	Swift Hesperange - Victoria Rosport	3:2
30.04.23	Swift Hesperange - Victoria Rosport	5:1
27.11.22	Victoria Rosport - Swift Hesperange	0:0
06.03.22	Victoria Rosport - Swift Hesperange	0:4

Victoria Rosport - Swift Hesperange: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide