The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hostert 42.7%
Draw 26.3%
Swift Hesperange 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
25.6%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
24.6%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hostert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Swift Hesperange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hostert than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hostert that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swift Hesperange than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swift Hesperange could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Hostert - Swift Hesperange Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Hostert will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Swift Hesperange will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Swift Hesperange (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Gomes Y. (G) 67. Ahmeti D. 20. Baiverlin C. 22. Bernardy L. 25. Caufriez A. 31. Derbali R. 17. Fernandes D. 26. Leroux M. 10. Meddour H. (C) 19. Mendes E. 7. Rodrigues K.
40. Dupire G. (G) 8. Belliard H. 3. El Foukhari I. 5. Erkus E. 24. Herbin G. 28. Kaloga M. 9. Lespinasse L. 21. Nsombi G. 26. Prempeh J. (C) 15. Savane H. 36. Skenderovic K.
Substitutes
28. Almeida Borges B. 80. Altun S. 79. Fernandes R. 15. Letievant A. 97. Quinol K. 99. Seligson F. (G) 21. Yans M.
89. Bochu N. 2. Cikotic E. 23. Cisse M. 22. Drame S. 42. Kiambu C. (G) 11. Morabet M. 12. Neves E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Bernardy L. 🟨,
27', Kaloga M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', Rodrigues K. ↓, Altun S. ↑,
69', Bernardy L. ↓, Yans M. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Kaloga M. ⚽,
82', Baiverlin C. ↓, Quinol K. ↑,
85', Kaloga M. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
86', Mendes E. ↓, Almeida Borges B. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Quinol K. ⚽,
90+2', Belliard H. 🟨,
90+2', Meddour H. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hostert won 1.
Hostert has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Swift Hesperange is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Swift Hesperange may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hostert won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:20. (average 0.9:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Hostert won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 1:3.3).