Match Info

Primera C - Round 18

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Saturnino Moure (Avellaneda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Victoriano Arenas		Deportivo Paraguayo

	1	X	2
	1.71	2.90	5.25
	1.72	2.92	5.35
	1.71	3.02	5.66
	1.71	2.96	5.83	Watch
	1.69	2.8	5.6
	1.69	3.18	6.14
	1.7	2.9	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.84)	2.95 ↓ (3.05)	5.6 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoriano Arenas
53.2%

Draw
30.7%

Deportivo Paraguayo
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

29.6%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

29.4%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoriano Arenas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Deportivo Paraguayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Paraguayo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoriano Arenas than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Paraguayo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Paraguayo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Victoriano Arenas - Deportivo Paraguayo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
80', 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoriano Arenas won 3.

Victoriano Arenas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo Paraguayo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Victoriano Arenas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Victoriano Arenas is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Victoriano Arenas won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Victoriano Arenas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Paraguayo - the odds 4.2 are the expected chance of winning is 21.46%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoriano Arenas
Argentinian Primera C
28.06.26	Puerto Nuevo - Victoriano Arenas	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Leandro N. Alem - Victoriano Arenas	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	Victoriano Arenas - Defensores de Cambaceres	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Victoriano Arenas	1:1 ✺
25.05.26	Victoriano Arenas - Sacachispas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWTW
- Deportivo Paraguayo
Argentinian Primera C
27.06.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Centro Español	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Justo José de Urquiza	0:0 ✺
06.06.26	Mercedes - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Lugano - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Puerto Nuevo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
28.02.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Victoriano Arenas	0:2
19.07.25	Deportivo Paraguayo - Victoriano Arenas	0:0
05.04.25	Victoriano Arenas - Deportivo Paraguayo	3:0
21.09.24	Victoriano Arenas - Deportivo Paraguayo	1:0
21.04.24	Deportivo Paraguayo - Victoriano Arenas	0:0
Argentinian Primera D
14.03.18	Deportivo Paraguayo - Victoriano Arenas	0:0
09.10.17	Victoriano Arenas - Deportivo Paraguayo	1:4

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