Match Info
Primera C - Round 26Date: 30 August 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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Argentina | LPF Play |
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Juventud Unida de San Miguel |
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Mercedes |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.05 |
2.75 |
3.60 |
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 |
1.98 |
2.95 |
3.55 |
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 |
2.08 |
2.73 |
3.77 |
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 |
2.26 |
2.76 |
3.48 |
Watch |
 |
2.05 |
2.70 |
3.70 |
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 |
2.19 |
2.82 |
3.86 |
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 |
2.00 |
2.80 |
3.60 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.09 ↓ (2.23) |
2.79 ↓ (2.9) |
3.65 ↑ (3.05) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Juventud Unida de San Miguel 43.1% | Draw 32.3% | Mercedes 24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventud Unida de San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud Unida de San Miguel than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+4%)Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Mercedes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Chaparro T. ⚽,
- 17', 1 - 1, Albistur A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 65', 2 - 1, Paredes M. ⚽,
- 73', 3 - 1, Escobar I. ⚽,
- 76', 4 - 1, Arreguin E. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud Unida won 3.Juventud Unida is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).In recent matches, Mercedes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Juventud Unida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Juventud Unida has had a series of away games. Juventud Unida could have a small edge in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Juventud Unida won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:3. (average 1.8:0.4).Including home matches between the teams, Juventud Unida won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Argentinian Primera C | | | 03.05.26 | Mercedes - Juventud Unida de San Miguel | 1:1 | | 03.11.24 | Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Mercedes | 2:0 | | 01.06.24 | Mercedes - Juventud Unida de San Miguel | 0:0 | | Argentinian Primera D | | | 28.11.23 | Mercedes - Juventud Unida de San Miguel | 0:4 | | 21.08.23 | Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Mercedes | 3:1 | | 15.04.23 | Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Mercedes | 2:1 | | 01.10.22 | Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Mercedes | 1:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;