Match Info

OTP Bank Liga - Round 28

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Sostoi Stadion (Székesfehérvár)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Videoton		MTK Budapest

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.63
	2.37	3.4	2.6
	2.4	3.5	2.65
	2.54	3.55	2.7
	2.51	3.44	2.66	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.62
	2.45	3.59	2.62	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.59)	3.5 ↑ (3.45)	2.64 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Videoton
38.1%

Draw
26.6%

MTK Budapest
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

26.8%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

26.1%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Videoton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Videoton than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Videoton - MTK Budapest Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Videoton will win (votes: 3 - 60%). MTK will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Videoton (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nagy G. (G) 16. Simut M. 3. Petrov S. 5. Kalandadze A. 7. Milicevic I. 4. Spandler C. 77. Katona M. 27. Bedi B. 23. Szabo B. 11. Stefanelli N. 9. Saponjic I.	1. Demjen P. (G) 2. Varju B. 24. Beriashvili I. 25. Kadar T. 27. Kovacs P. 8. Kosznovszky M. 6. Kata M. (C) 17. Polievka R. 10. Bognar I. 18. Nemeth K. 9. Molnar R.
Substitutes
57. Dala M. (G) 70. Holender F. 53. Horvath T. 10. Kastrati L. 44. Kemenes B. (G) 18. Kovacs B. 15. Kovacs M. 33. Lakatos K. 30. Ominger G. 99. Peto M. 28. Sekularac K. 87. Viragh M.	12. Csenterics A. (G) 14. Horvath A. 11. Jurina M. 23. Molnar A. 5. Nagy Z. 26. Szoke G. 16. Vegh B.
Coaches
Timar K.	Horvath D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Kadar T. 🟨,
44', Katona M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Polievka R. ↓, Molnar A. ↑,
61', Nemeth K. ↓, Jurina M. ↑,
61', Simut M. ↓, Holender F. ↑,
61', Katona M. ↓, Peto M. ↑,
63', Varju B. 🟨,
75', 1 - 0, Stefanelli N. ⚽, Milicevic I. (A),
80', Stefanelli N. ↓, Kovacs M. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Jurina M. ⚽,
89', Saponjic I. ↓, Kastrati L. ↑,
90+1', Kosznovszky M. ↓, Horvath A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fehérvár won 3.

Fehérvár is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches MTK is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fehérvár could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Fehérvár won 12 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 41:24 (average 2.1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Fehérvár won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22:8 (average 2.4:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Videoton - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.67%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Videoton FC
Hungarian NB I
13.04.25	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Videoton	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Videoton - Zalaegerszegi TE	0:2 ✺
Hungarian Cup
03.04.25	MTK Budapest - Videoton	4:2 ✺
Hungarian NB I
30.03.25	Ujpest - Videoton	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Videoton - Diósgyőri	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTT
- MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB I
11.04.25	MTK Budapest - Paksi SE	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Puskás Academy - MTK Budapest	1:1 ✺
Hungarian Cup
03.04.25	MTK Budapest - Videoton	4:2 ✺
Hungarian NB I
29.03.25	Győri ETO - MTK Budapest	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	MTK Budapest - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian Cup
03.04.25	MTK Budapest - Videoton	4:2
Hungarian NB I
14.12.24	MTK Budapest - Videoton	3:2
30.08.24	Videoton - MTK Budapest	1:0
03.05.24	Videoton - MTK Budapest	4:0
10.02.24	MTK Budapest - Videoton	0:2
08.10.23	Videoton - MTK Budapest	3:0
10.04.22	MTK Budapest - Videoton	1:1

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