Match Info

NB I. - Round 27

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion (Budapest)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	MTK Budapest		Paksi SE

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.7	2.05
	2.82	3.75	2.12
	2.88	3.89	2.24
	3.06	3.92	2.08	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.2
	2.99	3.78	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3)	3.77 ↓ (3.88)	2.14 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MTK Budapest
32.1%

Draw
24.5%

Paksi SE
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

24.1%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

24%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MTK Budapest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

MTK Budapest - Paksi SE Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. MTK will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Paks will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - MTK (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. MTK (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Fadgyas T. (G) 4. Beriashvili I. 25. Kadar T. 30. Vitalyos V. 26. Armalas V. 80. Zeljkovic A. 6. Kata M. (C) 27. Kovacs P. 8. Nemeth H. 11. Jurina M. 20. Kerezsi Z.	28. Gyetvan M. (G) 24. Lenzser B. 12. Vas G. 30. Szabo J. (C) 11. Bevardi Z. 8. Balogh B. 22. Windecker J. 21. Papp K. 20. Zeke M. 15. Szendrei A. 9. Hahn J.
Substitutes
21. Atrok I. 29. Balazs J. (G) 12. Bene D. 14. Horvath A. 39. Jurek G. 7. Molnar A. 18. Nemeth K. 23. Plsek J. 17. Polievka R. 15. Szeles I. A. 3. Szepe J. 2. Varju B.	3. Alaxai A. 13. Bode D. 18. Gyurkits G. 19. Horvath K. 1. Kovacsik A. (G) 23. Mate C. 14. Silye E. 25. Simon B. (G) 26. Szekszardi M. 6. Tamas O. 29. Toth B. 5. Vecsei B.
Coaches
Pinezits M.	Bognar G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Lenzser B. ↓, Szekszardi M. ↑,
10', Kata M. 🟨,
23', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Horvath A. ↑,
32', 0 - 1, Szendrei A. ⚽, Papp K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Windecker J. ↓, Horvath K. ↑,
46', Kadar T. ↓, Varju B. ↑,
62', Hahn J. ↓, Toth B. ↑,
67', Kata M. ↓, Molnar A. ↑,
67', Kerezsi Z. ↓, Atrok I. ↑,
70', Bevardi Z. 🟨,
75', Armalas V. ↓, Nemeth K. ↑,
78', Bevardi Z. ↓, Tamas O. ↑,
78', Szendrei A. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Bode D. ⚽, Toth B. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MTK won 1.

In recent matches, MTK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Paks is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Paks will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, MTK won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 20:44. (average 1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, MTK won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.4:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Paks	8	3	2	3	16:17	-1	11
7	MTK Budapest	8	2	3	3	15:14	1	9

Last Results with these Odds

MTK Budapest - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.17%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Paksi SE - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.74%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB I
13.03.26	Győri ETO - MTK Budapest	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	MTK Budapest - Diósgyőri	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Debreceni - MTK Budapest	2:2 ✺
23.02.26	MTK Budapest - Ferencvárosi	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	MTK Budapest - Puskás Academy	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTTLT
- Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I
14.03.26	Paksi SE - Zalaegerszegi TE	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Ujpest - Paksi SE	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Kisvárda - Paksi SE	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Paksi SE - Győri ETO	3:4 ✺
14.02.26	Paksi SE - Diósgyőri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
06.12.25	Paksi SE - MTK Budapest	3:1
24.08.25	MTK Budapest - Paksi SE	2:3
11.04.25	MTK Budapest - Paksi SE	1:2
07.12.24	Paksi SE - MTK Budapest	4:2
03.12.24	MTK Budapest - Paksi SE	3:1
03.03.24	MTK Budapest - Paksi SE	0:2
05.11.23	Paksi SE - MTK Budapest	0:0

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