Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Vigor Lamezia		Paternò

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.74	6.61
	1.54	3.89	6.22
	1.55	3.66	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.59)	3.76 ↑ (3.6)	6.11 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vigor Lamezia
60.5%

Draw
24.5%

Paternò
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

25.3%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

24.5%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vigor Lamezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Paternò has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigor Lamezia than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paternò than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Vigor Lamezia - Paternò Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Marigosu F. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Spano D. ⚽,
39', 3 - 0, Andreassi L. ⚽,
45', 4 - 0, Simonetta P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 5 - 0, Bruno Cosendey ⚽,
80', 6 - 0, Pussetto A. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Vigor Lamezia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Paternò is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Vigor Lamezia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vigor Lamezia is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Vigor Lamezia	6	1	2	3	7:13	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vigor Lamezia
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.02.26	Enna - Vigor Lamezia	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Sambiase - Vigor Lamezia	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Vigor Lamezia - Gela	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Vigor Lamezia - Athletic Palermo	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	Acireale - Vigor Lamezia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWLT
- ASD Paternò 1908
Italian Serie D - Group I
18.01.26	Paternò - Savoia	0:3 ✺
11.01.26	Gelbison Cilento - Paternò	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Paternò - Vibonese	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Paternò - Nissa	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Castrumfavara - Paternò	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTLT

Vigor Lamezia - Paternò: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide