Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Acireale		Vigor Lamezia

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	2.6
	2.38	3.1	2.72
	2.40	3.21	2.74	Watch
	2.44	3.2	2.8
	2.4	3.14	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.4)	3.17 ↓ (3.43)	2.72 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acireale
38%

Draw
28.7%

Vigor Lamezia
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.4%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

25.8%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acireale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Vigor Lamezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acireale than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Lamezia than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Acireale - Vigor Lamezia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Iuliano A. (Penalty Awarded),
10', 1 - 1, Catalano G. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 12)

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Acireale won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Vigor Lamezia	6	1	2	3	7:13	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Acireale Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.12.25	Acireale - Vibonese	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Ragusa - Acireale	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Acireale - Gelbison Cilento	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Nissa - Acireale	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Acireale - Castrumfavara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLLWL
- Vigor Lamezia
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.12.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Vigor Lamezia	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Vigor Lamezia - Sancataldese	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	ACR Messina - Vigor Lamezia	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Savoia - Vigor Lamezia	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Vigor Lamezia - Milazzo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
07.09.25	Vigor Lamezia - Acireale	1:0

Acireale - Vigor Lamezia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide