Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Vigor Lamezia		Athletic Palermo

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.2	1.92
	3.53	3.36	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3	2
	3.39	3.34	1.97
	3.33	3.33	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.45)	3.25 ↓ (3.4)	1.97 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vigor Lamezia
26.3%

Draw
27.8%

Athletic Palermo
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.4%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

26.6%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vigor Lamezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vigor Lamezia's form might have worsened.

Athletic Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Palermo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Lamezia than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vigor Lamezia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Palermo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vigor Lamezia - Athletic Palermo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic Palermo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', 1 - 2, ⚽,
67', 2 - 2, ⚽,
73', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Vigor Lamezia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Athletic Palermo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Vigor Lamezia has had a series of away games.

Athletic Palermo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vigor Lamezia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Athletic Palermo	6	2	2	2	9:8	1	8
12	Vigor Lamezia	6	1	2	3	7:13	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vigor Lamezia
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.01.26	Acireale - Vigor Lamezia	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Vigor Lamezia	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Vigor Lamezia - Sancataldese	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	ACR Messina - Vigor Lamezia	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Savoia - Vigor Lamezia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTWLL
- Athletic Palermo
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.01.26	Athletic Palermo - ACR Messina	4:0 ✺
21.12.25	Athletic Palermo - Ragusa	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Savoia - Athletic Palermo	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Athletic Palermo - Vibonese	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Castrumfavara - Athletic Palermo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
14.09.25	Athletic Palermo - Vigor Lamezia	2:1

Vigor Lamezia - Athletic Palermo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide