Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Savoia		Vigor Lamezia

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.75	5.15
	1.63	3.69	4.78	Watch
	1.46	3.88	6.3
	1.5	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.58)	3.83 ↑ (3.78)	5.43 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Savoia
59.5%

Draw
23.7%

Vigor Lamezia
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

22.9%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Savoia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Vigor Lamezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Savoia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Lamezia than the current prediction. (+1%)

Savoia - Vigor Lamezia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Dani Munoz ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+2', 1 - 1, Montebugnoli M. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, Matheus Reis ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 11).

Savoia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vigor Lamezia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Savoia is considered a favorite.

We predict that Savoia will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Savoia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Savoia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Savoia
Italian Serie D - Group I
23.11.25	ACR Messina - Savoia	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Ragusa - Savoia	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Savoia - Milazzo	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Gelbison Cilento - Savoia	2:6 ✺
26.10.25	Savoia - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWWW
- Vigor Lamezia
Italian Serie D - Group I
23.11.25	Vigor Lamezia - Milazzo	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Vibonese - Vigor Lamezia	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Vigor Lamezia - Ragusa	4:0 ✺
02.11.25	Castrumfavara - Vigor Lamezia	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Vigor Lamezia - Gelbison Cilento	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
17.01.15	Savoia - Vigor Lamezia	2:1
06.09.14	Vigor Lamezia - Savoia	3:1

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