Match Info

KENYA: PREMIER LEAGUE

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday


	Vihiga Bullets		Gor Mahia

	1	X	2
	6	4	1.44
	7.46	4.35	1.39
	6.5	3.7	1.42
	7.2	4.33	1.37
	6.4	4.2	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.71 ↑ (5.45)	4.12 ↑ (3.6)	1.42 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vihiga Bullets
13.6%

Draw
22.1%

Gor Mahia
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

25.1%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

24.1%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vihiga Bullets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gor Mahia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vihiga Bullets than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 5).

Vihiga Bullets is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gor Mahia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vihiga Bullets could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gor Mahia is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vihiga Bullets won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Vihiga Bullets won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vihiga Bullets
Kenyan Premier League
18.01.23	Kariobangi Sharks - Vihiga Bullets	3:3 ✺
15.01.23	Vihiga Bullets - Bandari	0:2 ✺
11.01.23	Vihiga Bullets - Wazito	1:3 ✺
08.01.23	Vihiga Bullets - Nairobi City Stars	2:0 ✺
04.01.23	Tusker - Vihiga Bullets	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLLWL
- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
18.01.23	Gor Mahia - Sofapaka	0:0 ✺
14.01.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Gor Mahia	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Posta Rangers - Gor Mahia	0:2 ✺
04.01.23	Gor Mahia - Kenya CB	0:1 ✺
21.12.22	Gor Mahia - Bandari	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
13.02.22	Gor Mahia - Vihiga Bullets	Vihiga awarded
09.12.21	Vihiga Bullets - Gor Mahia	0:3

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