Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Gor Mahia		Kenya CB

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.15	5.35
	1.74	2.96	5.51	Watch
	1.62	3	5.5
	1.63	3.46	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.69)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	5.49 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gor Mahia
54.6%

Draw
28.9%

Kenya CB
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

28.4%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

27.2%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Kenya CB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kenya CB than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Gor Mahia - Kenya CB Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Morrison E. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, ⚽,
44', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 2.

Gor Mahia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

KCB has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Gor Mahia is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Gor Mahia will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 0.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gor Mahia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Gor Mahia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	KCB	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
15.02.26	APS Bomet - Gor Mahia	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Gor Mahia - Sofapaka	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bidco United - Gor Mahia	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar	3:0 ✺
14.01.26	Gor Mahia - Muranga Seal	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW
- Kenya Commercial Bank SC
Kenyan Premier League
15.02.26	Kenya CB - Kariobangi Sharks	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Mathare United - Kenya CB	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Kenya CB - Tusker	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Posta Rangers - Kenya CB	0:1 ✺
15.01.26	Kenya CB - Nairobi United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
05.10.25	Kenya CB - Gor Mahia	0:1
06.04.25	Kenya CB - Gor Mahia	0:1
23.10.24	Gor Mahia - Kenya CB	0:0
16.05.24	Kenya CB - Gor Mahia	0:0
01.10.23	Gor Mahia - Kenya CB	1:1
17.03.23	Kenya CB - Gor Mahia	0:0
04.01.23	Gor Mahia - Kenya CB	0:1

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