Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Posta Rangers		Gor Mahia

	1	X	2
	5.7	3.6	1.52
	5.71	3.6	1.53
	6.04	3.75	1.51	Watch
	5.5	3.6	1.5
	6.42	3.58	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.87 ↓ (6.95)	3.63 ↑ (3.44)	1.51 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Posta Rangers
15.4%

Draw
24.9%

Gor Mahia
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

26.3%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

25.7%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Posta Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Gor Mahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Posta Rangers than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Posta Rangers - Gor Mahia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Posta Rangers won 0.

Recent form of Posta Rangers has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gor Mahia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Gor Mahia is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Posta Rangers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Posta Rangers won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Gor Mahia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Posta Rangers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Posta Rangers FC
Kenyan Premier League
01.03.26	Muranga Seal - Posta Rangers	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	AFC Leopards - Posta Rangers	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Posta Rangers - Shabana	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Tusker - Posta Rangers	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Posta Rangers - Mathare United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTT
- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
28.02.26	Gor Mahia - Mathare United	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Gor Mahia - Kenya CB	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	APS Bomet - Gor Mahia	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Gor Mahia - Sofapaka	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bidco United - Gor Mahia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
26.10.25	Gor Mahia - Posta Rangers	3:0
01.02.25	Gor Mahia - Posta Rangers	2:1
19.10.24	Posta Rangers - Gor Mahia	0:3
02.03.24	Gor Mahia - Posta Rangers	4:0
06.01.24	Posta Rangers - Gor Mahia	0:1
08.01.23	Posta Rangers - Gor Mahia	0:2
06.02.22	Gor Mahia - Posta Rangers	3:1

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