Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lyse Arena (Stavanger) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Norway	19:00	VG+
Turkey	20:00	Tabii, TRT 1


	Viking Stavanger		İstanbul Başakşehir

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.1
	1.98	3.55	3.35	Watch
	2.06	3.41	3.64
	1.41	4.73	6.72	Watch
				Watch
	2.07	3.83	3.38	Watch
	2.73	3.58	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.77)	3.71 ↑ (3.63)	3.72 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viking Stavanger
47.6%

Draw
26.2%

İstanbul Başakşehir
26.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.7%

26.5%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

27.1%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viking Stavanger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Viking Stavanger's performance.

İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and İstanbul Başakşehir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viking Stavanger than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Viking Stavanger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that İstanbul Başakşehir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.2%	22.6%	3.2%

Viking Stavanger - İstanbul Başakşehir Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Viking will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Viking: 60.3% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Viking (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Başakşehir (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Başakşehir (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Viking Stavanger will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Viking (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Başakşehir (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Klaesson K. (G) 5. Heggheim H. 25. Falchener H. 21. Baertelsen A. 18. Bjorshol S. 19. Askildsen K. 8. Bell J. 14. Alte R. 7. Svendsen S. 16. Berisha V. 10. Tripic Z. (C)	16. Sengezer M. (G) 6. Bulut O. 5. Duarte L. 27. Ba O. 21. Operi C. 42. Sahiner O. (C) 2. Ozdemir B. 13. Crespo M. 7. Sari Y. 10. Da Costa N. 77. Brnic I.
Substitutes
24. Auklend V. 17. Austbo E. 9. D'Agostino N. 33. Hansen J. 2. Haugen H. J. 23. Haugen K. 26. Kvia-Egeskog S. 28. Mikaelsson H. 35. Moi T. 1. Ostbo A. (G) 4. Roseth M. 3. Vevatne V.	1. Babacan V. (G) 17. Beyaz O. 34. Dilek Y. 98. Dilmen D. (G) 36. Ebosele F. 4. Ergun O. 20. Gunes U. 15. Gureler H. 3. Opoku J. 9. Selke D. 14. Shomurodov E. 23. Turuc D.
Coaches
Jensen M.	Atan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Svendsen S. ⚽,
17', Sari Y. ↓, Turuc D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
58', Brnic I. ↓, Shomurodov E. ↑,
58', Da Costa N. ↓, Selke D. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Turuc D. ⚽, Sahiner O. (A),
61', Bjorshol S. ↓, Haugen K. ↑,
61', Berisha V. ↓, Austbo E. ↑,
65', Sengezer M. 🟨,
65', Atan C. 🟨,
67', Askildsen K. ↓, Kvia-Egeskog S. ↑,
78', Haugen K. 🟨,
78', Sahiner O. ↓, Gunes U. ↑,
78', Crespo M. ↓, Beyaz O. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Operi C. ⚽, Gunes U. (A),
80', Svendsen S. ↓, D'Agostino N. ↑,
80', Alte R. ↓, Hansen J. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 3, Selke D. ⚽, Ba O. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

Recent performances by Viking have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Başakşehir is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Başakşehir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of away games.

Viking might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

İstanbul Başakşehir - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 38.88%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viking Stavanger FK
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Koper - Viking Stavanger	3:5 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
27.07.25	Bryne - Viking Stavanger	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Viking Stavanger - Koper	7:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
19.07.25	Viking Stavanger - Bodø Glimt	2:4 ✺
13.07.25	Brann - Viking Stavanger	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLL
- İstanbul Başakşehir
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Cherno More Varna	4:0 ✺
24.07.25	Cherno More Varna - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:1 ✺
16.07.25	Reichenau - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:4 ✺
13.07.25	Hertha Berlin - İstanbul Başakşehir	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWW?

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