Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Víkingsvöllur (Reykjavík)

Referee: Kapraly M. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 2
Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland


	Vikingur Reykjavik		Vllaznia Shkodër

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.25	9.5
	1.32	4.8	8
	1.3	5	9	Watch
	1.3	5.24	7.76
	1.39	4.70	7.19	Watch
	1.36	4.6	7.5
	1.35	5.57	8.25
	1.44	3.94	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.44)	4.89 ↑ (3.94)	7.89 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vikingur Reykjavik
69.2%

Draw
19%

Vllaznia Shkodër
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

22.7%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

23.3%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vikingur Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vikingur Reykjavik's performance.

Vllaznia Shkodër has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vikingur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vikingur Reykjavik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vllaznia Shkodër than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	20%	6.7%

Vikingur Reykjavik - Vllaznia Shkodër Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Vikingur will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Vllaznia will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vikingur: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Vikingur (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Arinbjornsson P. (G) 22. Gunnarsson K. 4. Ekroth O. (C) 15. Thorkelsson R. 20. Ibrahimagic T. 19. Borgthorsson O. 11. Hafsteinsson D. 32. Sigurdsson G. 25. Ingimundarson V. 23. Hansen N. 9. Gudjonsson H.	12. Jukaj A. (G) 2. Gurishta E. 92. Gjini E. 16. Bajrami M. 55. Kouros A. 8. Sala E. 6. Krymi A. 29. Yago A. 20. Mala E. 9. Balaj B. (C) 17. Charles B.
Substitutes
7. Agnarsson E. 8. Andrason V. 24. Atlason D. 36. Brynjarsson H. 17. Jonasson A. 1. Jonsson I. (G) 35. Magnusson J. (G) 10. Punyed P. 34. Sverrisson V. 2. Thorkelsson S.	33. Brahimi A. 77. Delaj A. 80. Hajdari X. 23. Hakaj E. 14. Kruja A. 27. Kubazi G. 99. Mensah A. 10. Murataj E. 88. Pohls L. (G) 3. Pusi G. 25. Qato K. 40. Tafili E.
Coaches
Ottesen S.	Martini E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Hafsteinsson D. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Balaj B. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Charles B. ↓, Mensah A. ↑,
46', Yago A. ↓, Kruja A. ↑,
51', Jukaj A. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Hansen N. ⚽, Ingimundarson V. (A),
59', Krymi A. 🟨,
62', Krymi A. ↓, Tafili E. ↑,
69', Borgthorsson O. ↓, Andrason V. ↑,
76', Gurishta E. 🟨,
78', Sigurdsson G. 🟨,
78', Tafili E. 🟨,
78', Gudjonsson H. ↓, Atlason D. ↑,
81', Ibrahimagic T. 🟨,
82', Sala E. 🟨,
85', 2 - 2, Balaj B. (Pen),
86', Ibrahimagic T. ↓, Jonasson A. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Hansen N. ⚽, Sigurdsson G. (A),
88', Sala E. ↓, Qato K. ↑,
90+5', Gjini E. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Atlason D. ↓, Thorkelsson S. ↑,
91', Hansen N. ↓, Agnarsson E. ↑,
94', 4 - 2, Thorkelsson R. ⚽, Sigurdsson G. (A),
98', Kruja A. ↓, Kubazi G. ↑,
107', Bajrami M. 🟨,
112', Tafili E. 🟨,
116', Mala E. ↓, Delaj A. ↑,
117', Gunnarsson K. ↓, Punyed P. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Vllaznia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Vllaznia has had a series of home games.

In this match, Vikingur is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vikingur won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vikingur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
27.07.25	Fram - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Vllaznia Shkodër - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
20.07.25	Vikingur Reykjavik - Valur	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.07.25	Vikingur Reykjavik - Malisheva	8:0 ✺
10.07.25	Malisheva - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLWW
- Vllaznia Shkodër
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Vllaznia Shkodër - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	BFC Daugavpils - Vllaznia Shkodër	2:4 ✺
10.07.25	Vllaznia Shkodër - BFC Daugavpils	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.25	Vllaznia Shkodër - Petrolul Ploieşti	0:2 ✺
27.06.25	Vllaznia Shkodër - UTA Arad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Vllaznia Shkodër - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:1

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