Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 19

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Viktoria Köln		Freiburg II

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	4.5
	1.72	3.8	4.4
	1.7	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.74	4.09	4.8
	1.71	4.1	4.8
	1.62	3.7	4.2
	1.68	3.88	4.45
	1.68	3.65	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.73)	3.82 ↑ (3.68)	4.53 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Köln
55.1%

Draw
24.4%

Freiburg II
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.2%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

24.8%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Köln than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	11.8%	23.5%

Viktoria Köln - Freiburg II Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Viktoria Köln will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Freiburg II will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Viktoria Köln: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Voll B. A. (G) 2. Dietz L. 3. Schultz M. 4. Lorch J. 28. Koronkiewicz P. 16. Engelhardt F. 6. Russo S. 37. May N. 10. Philipp D. 30. Marseiler L. 9. Becker A.	33. Hornung S. (G) 17. Fallmann P. 47. Ogbus I. 13. Muller S. 19. Bouebari F. 42. Marino L. 36. Ambros L. 5. Rudlin F. 22. Baur M. 28. Johansson R. 29. Breunig M.
Substitutes
25. Ali H. 13. de Meester L. 38. Hong Seok-ju 35. Keita Z. 39. Kubatta D. 11. Mustafa V. 21. Najar S. 24. Rauhut K. (G) 33. Sticker J.	18. Al Ghaddioui H. 27. Allgaier F. 25. Bichsel J. 6. Braun-Schumacher S. 21. Lee Ji-Han 8. Lienhard P. 3. Lungwitz A. 38. Mack L. (G) 20. Worner M.
Coaches
Janssen O.	Stamm T.

Preview

Viktoria Köln is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Freiburg II has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Viktoria Köln could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Viktoria Köln is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Viktoria Köln won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Viktoria Köln won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Köln
German 3 Bundesliga
10.12.23	Jahn Regensburg - Viktoria Köln	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Viktoria Köln - Ulm 1846	1:3 ✺
26.11.23	Preußen Münster - Viktoria Köln	3:3 ✺
10.11.23	Viktoria Köln - Dynamo Dresden	1:5 ✺
05.11.23	Hallescher - Viktoria Köln	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLTLL
- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
09.12.23	Freiburg II - Saarbrücken	0:4 ✺
03.12.23	Jahn Regensburg - Freiburg II	3:2 ✺
28.11.23	Freiburg II - Hallescher	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Ulm 1846 - Freiburg II	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Freiburg II - Preußen Münster	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
27.02.23	Viktoria Köln - Freiburg II	0:3
20.08.22	Freiburg II - Viktoria Köln	1:0
04.02.22	Freiburg II - Viktoria Köln	1:1
28.08.21	Viktoria Köln - Freiburg II	3:1

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