Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 17

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Jahn Regensburg		Freiburg II

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	5.25
	1.53	4.1	5.75
	1.52	4.2	6	Watch
	1.53	4.4	6.61
	1.52	4.4	6.61
	1.44	3.9	5.8
	1.49	4.15	6	Watch
	1.49	4.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.49)	4.22 ↑ (4)	5.93 ↓ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jahn Regensburg
62.1%

Draw
22.1%

Freiburg II
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

22.9%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

21.9%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jahn Regensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Freiburg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.3%	6.9%	13.8%

Jahn Regensburg - Freiburg II Predictions

Users Predictions: Jahn Regensburg will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gebhardt F. (G) 11. Faber K. 4. Ballas F. 16. Breunig L. 6. Saller B. 8. Geipl A. (C) 3. Hein B. 21. Eisenhuth T. 10. Viet C. 27. Kother D. 29. Huth E.	31. Jantunen J. (G) 23. Fahrner P. 25. Bichsel J. 13. Muller S. 48. Yilmaz B. 42. Marino L. 36. Ambros L. 11. Stark J. 22. Baur M. 28. Johansson R. 29. Breunig M.
Substitutes
18. Anspach N. 25. Bauer J. 13. Bittroff A. 20. Ganaus N. 23. Graf J. 19. Schmidt C. 7. Schonfelder O. 32. Weidinger A. (G) 14. Ziegele R.	18. Al Ghaddioui H. 6. Braun-Schumacher S. 17. Fallmann P. 33. Hornung S. (G) 21. Lee Ji-Han 8. Lienhard P. 47. Ogbus I. 30. Pellegrino G. 20. Worner M.
Coaches
Enochs J.	Stamm T.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Regensburg is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Freiburg II has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Regensburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Regensburg is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Regensburg to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jahn Regensburg
German 3 Bundesliga
26.11.23	Dynamo Dresden - Jahn Regensburg	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.11.23	Augsburg - Jahn Regensburg	5:2 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
12.11.23	Jahn Regensburg - Ulm 1846	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	1860 München - Jahn Regensburg	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Jahn Regensburg - Preußen Münster	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLWWW
- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
28.11.23	Freiburg II - Hallescher	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Ulm 1846 - Freiburg II	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Freiburg II - Preußen Münster	2:2 ✺
04.11.23	Dynamo Dresden - Freiburg II	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Freiburg II - Erzgebirge Aue	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

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