Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 31

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Sportpark Hohenberg (Cologne)

Referee: Alt P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Viktoria Köln		Lübeck

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2	3.6	3.4
	2	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2.04	3.78	3.63
	2	3.78	3.63
	1.91	3.5	3.3
	1.96	3.6	3.44	Watch
	2	3.55	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.94)	3.61 ↓ (3.74)	3.46 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Köln
47%

Draw
25.9%

Lübeck
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

25%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

24.5%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Köln than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	7.1%	10.7%

Viktoria Köln - Lübeck Predictions

Users Predictions: Viktoria Köln will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Voll B. A. (G) 28. Koronkiewicz P. 3. Schultz M. (C) 2. Dietz L. 7. Handle S. 13. de Meester L. 6. Russo S. 4. Lorch J. 16. Engelhardt F. 9. Becker A. 22. El Mala S.	35. Stein Y. (G) 13. Thiel M. 3. Kastenhofer N. 27. Reddemann S. 8. Egerer F. 20. Taffertshofer U. 31. Boland M. 7. Hauptmann M. (C) 33. Schneider J. 21. Velasco R. 14. Akono C.
Substitutes
34. Ali H. 18. Anselm T. 38. Hong Seok-ju 29. Idel T. 35. Keita Z. 39. Kubatta D. 37. May N. 24. Rauhut K. (G) 33. Sticker J.	34. Adou E. 16. Beleme D. 28. Didzilatis G. (G) 10. Farrona-Pulido M. 25. Gozusirin T. 17. Grupe T. 37. Sternberg J.
Coaches
Janssen O.	Martens J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Koronkiewicz P. 🟨,
52', Handle S. ↓, May N. ↑,
64', Schultz M. 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, El Mala S. ⚽, Dietz L. (A),
71', Akono C. ↓, Beleme D. ↑,
71', Velasco R. ↓, Farrona-Pulido M. ↑,
71', de Meester L. ↓, Hong Seok-ju ↑,
72', El Mala S. ↓, Idel T. ↑,
75', Boland M. 🟨,
76', Becker A. 🟨,
78', Russo S. 🟨,
79', Thiel M. ↓, Sternberg J. ↑,
79', Schneider J. ↓, Gozusirin T. ↑,
80', Reddemann S. 🟨,
81', Taffertshofer U. ↓, Grupe T. ↑,
90+1', Schultz M. ↓, Kubatta D. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Viktoria Köln is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lübeck is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Viktoria Köln will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Viktoria Köln won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Viktoria Köln won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Köln
German 3 Bundesliga
16.03.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Viktoria Köln	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Viktoria Köln - Waldhof Mannheim	2:2 ✺
03.03.24	Ingolstadt - Viktoria Köln	1:3 ✺
24.02.24	Viktoria Köln - Sandhausen	2:1 ✺
21.02.24	Viktoria Köln - Saarbrücken	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTWWL
- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
16.03.24	Lübeck - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Freiburg II - Lübeck	3:0 ✺
02.03.24	Lübeck - Saarbrücken	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Hallescher - Lübeck	3:0 ✺
17.02.24	Lübeck - Preußen Münster	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
21.10.23	Lübeck - Viktoria Köln	3:2
06.03.21	Lübeck - Viktoria Köln	1:2
30.10.20	Viktoria Köln - Lübeck	0:2

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