Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 28

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Lohmühle (Lubeck)

Referee: Hussein R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport


	Lübeck		Saarbrücken

	1	X	2
	5	4	1.62	Watch
	4.75	3.8	1.68
	4.75	3.75	1.68	Watch
	4.7	3.85	1.67
	4.93	4.19	1.68
	4.5	3.7	1.62
	4.83	3.68	1.67	Watch
	4.7	3.85	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↑ (3.08)	3.85 ↑ (3.48)	1.66 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lübeck
19.5%

Draw
24.2%

Saarbrücken
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

26.3%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

24.8%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lübeck's form might have worsened.

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saarbrücken's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lübeck, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saarbrücken, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	5.3%	94.7%

Lübeck - Saarbrücken Predictions

Users Predictions: Saarbrücken will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klewin P. (G) 22. Sommer L. 3. Kastenhofer N. 30. Lohden J. 27. Reddemann S. 8. Egerer F. 31. Boland M. (C) 21. Velasco R. 7. Hauptmann M. 33. Schneider J. 39. Breier P.	1. Schreiber T. (G) 16. Thoelke B. 8. Zeitz M. 17. Becker D. 7. Rizzuto C. 6. Sontheimer P. 21. Di Michele Sanchez F. 20. Gunther-Schmidt J. 11. Biada J. 10. Rabihic K. 9. Brunker K.
Substitutes
34. Adou E. 14. Akono C. 16. Beleme D. 23. Daube M. 28. Didzilatis G. (G) 17. Grupe T. 35. Stein Y. (G)	15. Becker R. 18. Breuer A. 23. Civeja T. 35. Kotyrba F. (G) 25. Naifi A. 30. Paterok T. (G) 38. Sahin L. 22. Stehle S. F.
Coaches
Schnorrenberg F.	Ziehl R.

Preview

Lübeck has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Saarbrücken is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Saarbrücken could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Saarbrücken is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
25.02.24	Hallescher - Lübeck	3:0 ✺
17.02.24	Lübeck - Preußen Münster	0:3 ✺
10.02.24	Dynamo Dresden - Lübeck	7:2 ✺
03.02.24	Lübeck - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Lübeck	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTL
- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
25.02.24	Saarbrücken - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
21.02.24	Viktoria Köln - Saarbrücken	2:5 ✺
18.02.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Saarbrücken	0:2 ✺
02.02.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Saarbrücken	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Saarbrücken - Ingolstadt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
03.10.23	Saarbrücken - Lübeck	1:1
24.01.21	Saarbrücken - Lübeck	0:0
19.09.20	Lübeck - Saarbrücken	1:1

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