Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 29

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Dreisamstadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Nouhoum A. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Freiburg II		Lübeck

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.5
	2.7	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.9	3.35	2.57
	2.9	3.35	2.57
	2.62	3.2	2.38
	2.73	3.28	2.42
	2.7	3.25	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.51)	3.29 ↓ (3.35)	2.49 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
33.9%

Draw
28.4%

Lübeck
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

27.9%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

27.2%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Freiburg II - Lübeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uphoff B. (G) 47. Ogbus B. 11. Stark J. 27. Lang N. 17. Fallmann P. 22. Baur M. 5. Rudlin F. 28. Johansson R. 36. Ambros L. 29. Breunig M. 18. Al Ghaddioui H.	1. Klewin P. (G) 3. Kastenhofer N. 30. Lohden J. 27. Reddemann S. 7. Hauptmann M. 20. Taffertshofer U. 31. Boland M. 22. Sommer L. 21. Velasco R. 33. Schneider J. 16. Beleme D.
Substitutes
25. Bichsel J. 19. Bouebari F. 21. Lee Ji-Han 8. Lienhard P. 3. Lungwitz A. 41. Manzambi J. 42. Marino L. 38. Schneller L. (G) 46. Sturm Y.	34. Adou E. 14. Akono C. 28. Didzilatis G. (G) 8. Egerer F. 10. Farrona-Pulido M. 17. Grupe T. 35. Stein Y. (G) 13. Thiel M.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Schnorrenberg F.

Preview

Recent matches Freiburg II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lübeck is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Freiburg II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Freiburg II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
01.03.24	Sandhausen - Freiburg II	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Freiburg II - Waldhof Mannheim	1:0 ✺
16.02.24	Ingolstadt - Freiburg II	2:3 ✺
10.02.24	Freiburg II - Arminia Bielefeld	0:3 ✺
03.02.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Freiburg II	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LWWLL
- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
02.03.24	Lübeck - Saarbrücken	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Hallescher - Lübeck	3:0 ✺
17.02.24	Lübeck - Preußen Münster	0:3 ✺
10.02.24	Dynamo Dresden - Lübeck	7:2 ✺
03.02.24	Lübeck - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
08.10.23	Lübeck - Freiburg II	0:1

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