Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 23 January 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Doosan Arena (Plzen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 5, New World Sport App
Argentina	14:45	ESPN 3
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Belgium	18:45	Play6, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2, RTBF Tipik
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
China	01:45	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:45	ESPN 3
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech Republic	18:45	Sport 2
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 4
Hungary	18:45	Sport 1
Iceland	17:45	Stod 2 Sport 3
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Mexico	11:45	Amazon Prime Video, FOX Sports 2
Montenegro	18:45	Arena Sport 3
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Sporza
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	18:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Premium 5
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 4
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport 3
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 7
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United Kingdom	17:45	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+


	Viktoria Plzeň		Anderlecht

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4.33
	1.9	3.25	4.4
	1.92	3.5	4.3
	1.92	3.39	4.6
	1.9	3.34	4.47	Watch
	1.91	3.4	4.2
	1.97	3.25	5.02
	1.92	3.5	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.28)	3.38 ↓ (3.44)	4.46 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Plzeň
50.1%

Draw
28.4%

Anderlecht
21.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42%

27.8%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

28.2%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Viktoria Plzeň's performance.

Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anderlecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Viktoria Plzeň that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anderlecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.4%	27.1%	12.5%

Viktoria Plzeň - Anderlecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 27 - 61.4%). Anderlecht will win (votes: 5 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plzeň: 47% – 75.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Jedlicka M. (G) 40. Dweh S. 3. Markovic S. 21. Jemelka V. 22. Cadu 6. Cerv L. 23. Kalvach L. (C) 24. Havel M. 11. Vydra M. 31. Sulc P. 80. Adu P. K.	26. Coosemans C. (C) 25. Foket T. 4. Simic J. 6. Augustinsson L. 79. Maamar A. 17. Leoni T. 32. Dendoncker L. 23. Rits M. 19. Angulo N. 20. Vazquez L. 83. Degreef T.
Substitutes
30. Baier V. (G) 2. Hejda L. 10. Kopic J. 5. Paluska J. 20. Panos J. 29. Sloncik T. 12. Sojka A. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 32. Valenta M. 51. Vasulin D.	7. Amuzu F. 42. Goto K. 11. Hazard T. 16. Kikkenborg M. (G) 73. Lapage A. 5. N'Diaye M. 54. Sardella K. 78. Tajaouart A. 63. Vanhoutte T. (G) 10. Verschaeren Y.
Coaches
Koubek M.	Clement R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Cerv L. ⚽, Vydra M. (A),
11', Sulc P. (Pen),
45', 2 - 0, Adu P. K. ⚽, Vydra M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Maamar A. ↓, Verschaeren Y. ↑,
61', Degreef T. ↓, Hazard T. ↑,
61', Foket T. ↓, Sardella K. ↑,
61', Angulo N. ↓, Amuzu F. ↑,
76', Vydra M. ↓, Vasulin D. ↑,
80', Augustinsson L. ↓, N'Diaye M. ↑,
83', Havel M. ↓, Kopic J. ↑,
88', Adu P. K. ↓, Sojka A. ↑,

Preview

Plzeň is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Anderlecht is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Anderlecht could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Plzeň will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Plzeň: Bello J. (Injury) Sene C. (Inactive)

There will not play in Anderlecht: Dolberg K. (Injury) Edozie S. (Muscle Injury) Vertonghen J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Anderlecht: Amuzu F. (Injury) Ashimeru M. (Muscle Injury) Stroeykens M. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Plzeň
Club Friendly
16.01.25	AIK - Viktoria Plzeň	0:2 ✺
12.01.25	Piast Gliwice - Viktoria Plzeň	0:2 ✺
09.01.25	Paderborn - Viktoria Plzeň	2:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
15.12.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Dynamo České Budějovice	7:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Manchester United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTWL
- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.01.25	Kortrijk - Anderlecht	0:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
16.01.25	Anderlecht - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.01.25	Anderlecht - Club Brugge	0:3 ✺
Belgian Cup
09.01.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Anderlecht	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.24	Anderlecht - Dender EH	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL

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