Match Info

BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 22

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Guldensporen Stadion (Kortrijk)

Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ESPN 2
Australia	ESPN
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Bold+
France	DAZN 2, DAZN France
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Sporza
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Spain	GolStadium
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Kortrijk		Anderlecht

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2.05
	3.5	3.5	2.02	Watch
	3.6	3.54	2.04	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.91
	3.65	3.61	2.02	Watch
	3.5	3.5	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (3.92)	3.52 ↓ (3.81)	2.02 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kortrijk
26.5%

Draw
26.8%

Anderlecht
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

24.8%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

23.6%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kortrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anderlecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	7.1%	78.6%

Kortrijk - Anderlecht Predictions

Users Predictions: Anderlecht will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Pirard L. (G) 44. Silva J. (C) 27. Sissako A. 26. Lagae B. 20. Dewaele G. 8. Dermane K. 23. Ilaimaharitra M. 11. De Neve D. 6. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 68. Ambrose T. 10. Kadri A.	26. Coosemans C. (C) 34. Adryelson 32. Dendoncker L. 5. N'Diaye M. 54. Sardella K. 23. Rits M. 10. Verschaeren Y. 79. Maamar A. 83. Degreef T. 20. Vazquez L. 11. Hazard T.
Substitutes
2. Alebiosu R. 17. Bruno M. 16. Dejaegere B. 13. De Vlaeminck E. (G) 7. El Idrissy M. 32. Gueye M. 21. Himpe K. 35. Huygevelde N. 4. Mampassi M.	19. Angulo N. 6. Augustinsson L. 25. Foket T. 42. Goto K. 21. Huerta Valera C. S. 16. Kikkenborg M. (G) 73. Lapage A. 17. Leoni T. 4. Simic J.
Coaches
Vanderhaeghe Y.	Hubert D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Silva J. 🟨,
62', 0 - 1, Hazard T. ⚽,
65', Silva J. 🟨,
67', Hazard T. 🟨,
71', Hazard T. ↓, Huerta Valera C. S. ↑,
72', N'Diaye M. ↓, Simic J. ↑,
72', Kadri A. ↓, Dejaegere B. ↑,
73', Ambrose T. 🟨,
81', Dewaele G. ↓, Alebiosu R. ↑,
81', Ilaimaharitra M. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
83', Vazquez L. ↓, Goto K. ↑,
90', Degreef T. 🟨,
90', Degreef T. ↓, Angulo N. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Huerta Valera C. S. ⚽, Angulo N. (A),

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kortrijk won 1.

Kortrijk has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Anderlecht is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kortrijk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Anderlecht will have a small advantage in this match.

There are questionable in Kortrijk: Dejaegere B. (Back Injury) Fujii H. (Shin Injury) Gunnarsson P. (Knock) Mampassi M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Anderlecht: Ashimeru M. (Muscle Injury) Stroeykens M. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Kortrijk won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 25:49 (average 1.3:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Kortrijk won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19:23 (average 2.1:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Kortrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.01.25	Standard Liège - Kortrijk	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Kortrijk - Charleroi	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Kortrijk	2:2 ✺
14.12.24	Kortrijk - Dender EH	0:3 ✺
07.12.24	Genk - Kortrijk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- Anderlecht
Belgian Cup
16.01.25	Anderlecht - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.01.25	Anderlecht - Club Brugge	0:3 ✺
Belgian Cup
09.01.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Anderlecht	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.24	Anderlecht - Dender EH	2:3 ✺
22.12.24	Genk - Anderlecht	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.11.24	Anderlecht - Kortrijk	4:0
16.03.24	Anderlecht - Kortrijk	0:1
17.09.23	Kortrijk - Anderlecht	2:2
19.02.23	Kortrijk - Anderlecht	2:2
18.09.22	Anderlecht - Kortrijk	4:1
10.04.22	Kortrijk - Anderlecht	2:3
Belgian Cup
23.12.21	Anderlecht - Kortrijk	3:0

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