Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 22

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht)

Referee: De Cremer W. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza


	Anderlecht		Dender EH

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.55	4.35	5.3	Watch
	1.57	4.3	5.89
	1.57	4.25	5.6	Watch
	1.57	3.9	5
	1.59	4.15	5.68	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.38)	4.19 ↓ (5.05)	5.52 ↓ (7.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anderlecht
60.4%

Draw
22.5%

Dender EH
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

18.7%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

17.6%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anderlecht's form might have worsened.

Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anderlecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	4.5%	18.2%

Anderlecht - Dender EH Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Dender EH will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Anderlecht: 58% – 94.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Dender EH (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Anderlecht (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Dender EH (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Dender EH (votes: 4 - 36.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Coosemans C. (C) 54. Sardella K. 55. Kana M. 3. Hey L. 58. Ozcan Y. 74. De Cat N. 13. Saliba N. 11. Hazard T. 91. Bertaccini A. 14. Sikan D. 19. Angulo N.	93. Gallon G. (C) 5. Marijnissen L. 21. Cools K. 7. Goncalves B. 70. Sambu M. 17. Mbamba N. 24. Viltard M. 88. Ferraro F. 16. Kvet R. 9. Toshevski D. 77. Nsimba B.
Substitutes
7. Camara I. 9. Cvetkovic M. 83. Degreef T. 32. Heekeren J. (G) 15. Ilic M. 99. Kanate I. 24. Llansana E. 5. N'Diaye M. 10. Verschaeren Y.	23. Acquah D. 90. Berte M. 44. De Fougerolles L. 10. Dion M. S. 1. Fortin L. (G) 20. Hrncar D. 27. Jahanbakhsh A. 67. Moutha-Sebtaoui N. 18. Rodes N.
Coaches
Hasi B.	Milkon H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Saliba N. 🟨,
45+1', Viltard M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Ozcan Y. ↓, N'Diaye M. ↑,
61', De Cat N. ↓, Llansana E. ↑,
68', Bertaccini A. ↓, Kanate I. ↑,
68', Sikan D. ↓, Cvetkovic M. ↑,
69', Sambu M. 🟨,
76', Sambu M. ↓, De Fougerolles L. ↑,
79', Saliba N. ↓, Degreef T. ↑,
82', Mbamba N. ↓, Acquah D. ↑,
82', Toshevski D. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
89', Kana M. 🟨,
90', Ferraro F. ↓, Rodes N. ↑,
90', Viltard M. ↓, Moutha-Sebtaoui N. ↑,
90+4', Moutha-Sebtaoui N. 🟨,
90+6', Nsimba B. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 3.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Recently, Dender EH has had a series of home games.

In this match, Anderlecht is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Anderlecht: Heekeren J. (Muscle Injury) Huerta Valera C. S. (Groin Injury) Sikan D. (Inactive) Stroeykens M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Dender EH: Dion M. S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Anderlecht: Augustinsson L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Dender EH: Ferraro F. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Anderlecht: 4.86%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Anderlecht	8	5	1	2	9:6	3	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.01.26	Gent - Anderlecht	4:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
15.01.26	Anderlecht - Gent	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.26	St. Gallen - Anderlecht	2:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.12.25	Anderlecht - Charleroi	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Royal Antwerp - Anderlecht	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLT
- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.01.26	Dender EH - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
14.01.26	Dender EH - Saint-Gilloise	0:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.25	KV Mechelen - Dender EH	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Dender EH - Standard Liège	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Dender EH - Club Brugge	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.08.25	Dender EH - Anderlecht	0:2
27.12.24	Anderlecht - Dender EH	2:3
28.09.24	Dender EH - Anderlecht	1:1
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Anderlecht - Dender EH	2:1
19.07.17	Dender EH - Anderlecht	1:3
22.07.15	Dender EH - Anderlecht	1:3

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