Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 13

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Doosan Arena (Plzen)

Referee: Vsetecka J. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo


	Viktoria Plzeň		Baník Ostrava

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.38	4.75	6.7	Watch
	1.41	4.83	6.45
	1.40	4.72	6.33	Watch
	1.37	4.7	7.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)	4.7 ↓ (4.72)	6.72 ↑ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Plzeň
66.5%

Draw
19.7%

Baník Ostrava
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

19.5%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

18.9%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Viktoria Plzeň - Baník Ostrava Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Baník Ostrava (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Baník Ostrava (4.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Baník Ostrava (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Baník Ostrava (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Jedlicka M. (G) 24. Havel M. 40. Dweh S. 3. Markovic S. 14. Doski M. 99. Memic A. 6. Cerv L. (C) 85. Zeljkovic A. 18. Ladra T. 7. Kabongo C. 80. Adu P.	30. Holec D. (G) 34. Bewene A. 17. Frydrych M. (C) 6. Pojezny K. 44. Sehic E. 8. Frydek Ch. 80. Kricfalusi O. 5. Boula J. 18. Planka D. 77. Almasi L. 25. Owusu D.
Substitutes
72. Bello J. 17. Durosinmi R. 2. Hejda L. 22. Paluska J. 19. Souare C. 5. Spacil K. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 32. Valenta M. 9. Visinsky D. 44. Wiegele F. (G)	9. Buchta D. 1. Budinsky V. (G) 37. Chalus M. 2. Havran M. 14. Jaron P. 15. Kpozo P. 19. Lischka D. 31. Munksgaard A. 55. Musak A. 29. Pira J. 22. Zlatohlavek T.
Coaches
Hysky M.	Galasek T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Kabongo C. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Adu P. ⚽, Zeljkovic A. (A),
28', Zeljkovic A. 🟨,
33', Pojezny K. 🟨,
33', Adu P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kabongo C. ↓, Durosinmi R. ↑,
46', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Spacil K. ↑,
60', Almasi L. ↓, Pira J. ↑,
60', Owusu D. ↓, Havran M. ↑,
68', Frydek Ch. ↓, Jaron P. ↑,
76', Frydrych M. 🟨,
76', Cerv L. ↓, Valenta M. ↑,
77', Ladra T. ↓, Souare C. ↑,
79', Planka D. ↓, Buchta D. ↑,
79', Kricfalusi O. ↓, Zlatohlavek T. ↑,
84', Havel M. ↓, Paluska J. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Memic A. ⚽, Souare C. (A),
90+4', Holec D. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plzeň won 2.

Plzeň is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Baník Ostrava's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Plzeň may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Plzeň is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Plzeň: Kopic J. (Knee Injury) Panos J. (Illness) Valenta M. (Injury)

There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Kubala F. (Knee Injury) Latal D. (Knee Injury) Plavsic S. (Groin Injury) Rusnak M. (Health problems) Tiehi C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Plzeň: Vydra M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Holzer D. (Inactive) Kohut M. (Health problems)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Plzeň won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:17. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Plzeň won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.9:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Viktoria Plzeň - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 65.89%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Plzeň
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Roma - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
18.10.25	Bohemians 1905 - Viktoria Plzeň	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Hradec Králové	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Malmö	3:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
28.09.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Zlín	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWTWL
- Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga
19.10.25	Baník Ostrava - Hradec Králové	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Zlín - Baník Ostrava	1:1 ✺
01.10.25	Pardubice - Baník Ostrava	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Baník Ostrava - Sparta Prague	0:3 ✺
Czech Cup
24.09.25	Dynamo České Budějovice - Baník Ostrava	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
11.05.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Baník Ostrava	1:2
16.03.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Baník Ostrava	0:1
19.10.24	Baník Ostrava - Viktoria Plzeň	1:3
18.05.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Baník Ostrava	1:1
13.02.24	Baník Ostrava - Viktoria Plzeň	0:1
06.08.23	Viktoria Plzeň - Baník Ostrava	3:1
16.04.23	Baník Ostrava - Viktoria Plzeň	2:1

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