Match Info

Date: 5 December 2020, Saturday


	Vila Nova		Jacuipense

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	4.4
	1.65	3.6	4.5
	1.6	3.25	5.6
	1.66	3.4	6.61
	1.7	3.1	5.25
	1.66	3.42	5.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.74)	3.38 ↓ (3.5)	5.29 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
55.4%

Draw
27.2%

Jacuipense
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.7%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

17%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Jacuipense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jacuipense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Nova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacuipense than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacuipense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vila Nova - Jacuipense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie C (Play Offs) and 5).

Vila Nova is Qualified for Serie C (Play Offs)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie C
28.11.20	Treze - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
21.11.20	Imperatriz de Desportos - Vila Nova	1:3 ✺
16.11.20	Vila Nova - Botafogo PB	0:1 ✺
07.11.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Vila Nova	2:0
01.11.20	Vila Nova - Remo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWLLT
- EC Jacuipense
Brazilian Serie C
30.11.20	Jacuipense - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
22.11.20	Jacuipense - Treze	3:2 ✺
14.11.20	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Jacuipense	0:0 ✺
08.11.20	Jacuipense - Paysandu	0:1 ✺
01.11.20	Botafogo PB - Jacuipense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
05.10.20	Jacuipense - Vila Nova	0:3

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