Match Info

Date: 16 November 2020, Monday


	Vila Nova		Botafogo PB

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.3	4	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.25
	1.8	3.05	4.4
	1.87	3.06	4.81
	1.95	3.2	3.7
	1.79	3.44	3.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.02)	3.19 ↓ (3.24)	4.16 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
49.6%

Draw
28.5%

Botafogo PB
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vila Nova's performance.

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo PB might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	3.8%	15.4%

Vila Nova - Botafogo PB Predictions

Users Predictions: Vila Nova will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C (Play Offs) and 9 in the zone Relegation to Serie D).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie C
07.11.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Vila Nova	2:0
01.11.20	Vila Nova - Remo	0:0 ✺
26.10.20	Vila Nova - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:0 ✺
18.10.20	Paysandu - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
12.10.20	Vila Nova - Manaus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWTW
- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
07.11.20	Botafogo PB - Imperatriz de Desportos	7:0 ✺
01.11.20	Botafogo PB - Jacuipense	1:1 ✺
25.10.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
19.10.20	Manaus - Botafogo PB	3:2 ✺
10.10.20	Botafogo PB - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
12.09.20	Botafogo PB - Vila Nova	0:0
12.09.15	Botafogo PB - Vila Nova	1:2
11.07.15	Vila Nova - Botafogo PB	2:0

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