Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 3

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Presidente Vargas (Fortaleza)


	Ferroviário Fortaleza		Jacuipense

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.05	2.98
	2.26	3.05	3.29
	1.88	3.42	4.01	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.9
	2.17	2.98	3.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.17)	3.1 ↑ (2.91)	3.26 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ferroviário Fortaleza
42.4%

Draw
29.5%

Jacuipense
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

31.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

30.3%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Jacuipense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacuipense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Jacuipense Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ferroviário will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Jacuipense will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Brasil (C) 2. Geo J. 25. Kayo Bahia 5. Luan 16. Mena Y. 11. Pablinho 21. Paulo Ricardo 6. Pedrinho 22. Raphael Freitas 20. Rosa B. 3. Santana T.	23. Italo Pezao (G) 9. Adriano 10. Alison Daniel 3. Daniel 11. Flavinho (C) 4. Gabriel Pereira 20. Joao Pedro 8. Pereira G. 6. Ruan 5. Talisca 2. Vicente
Substitutes
18. Camilo 7. Carlinhos 99. Ciel 33. Daniel (G) 15. Fernando Portel 4. Iago Reis 8. Lucas Black 19. Luciano T. 13. Pablo Maldini 23. Silvano Verissimo S. 93. Sivaldo Junior (G)	17. David Santana 16. Geferson 13. Jhones Germano 1. Marcelo (G) 15. Mizael 14. Romario Luis M. 25. Sidney Freitas 7. William

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Pablinho ⚽,
18', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
45+4', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ferroviário might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ferroviário won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviário won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Ferroviário Fortaleza - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.85%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie D
04.04.26	Fluminense Piaui - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.03.26	Maranhão - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:3 ✺
24.03.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
26.02.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Floresta	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Fortaleza - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLWL
- EC Jacuipense
Brazilian Serie D
04.04.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Jacuipense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
30.03.26	Jacuipense - América RN	0:0 ✺
24.03.26	Sport Recife - Jacuipense	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.26	Jacuipense - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 penalties ✺
11.03.26	Santa Catarina - Jacuipense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
28.08.21	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Jacuipense	0:0
26.06.21	Jacuipense - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:0
14.11.20	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Jacuipense	0:0
14.09.20	Jacuipense - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:0

Ferroviário Fortaleza - Jacuipense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide