Match Info

Date: 12 October 2020, Monday


	Vila Nova		Manaus

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.5	3.8	6
	1.51	3.7	5.6
	1.51	3.96	6.68
	1.52	3.6	6
	1.52	3.88	6.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)	3.76 ↑ (3.7)	5.97 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
60.4%

Draw
24.3%

Manaus
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

25%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

20.3%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Manaus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Vila Nova - Manaus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C (Play Offs) and 7).

Vila Nova is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Manaus is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Manaus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.

Recent matches Manaus is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie C
05.10.20	Jacuipense - Vila Nova	0:3 ✺
26.09.20	Vila Nova - Treze	0:0 ✺
21.09.20	Vila Nova - Imperatriz de Desportos	3:0 ✺
12.09.20	Botafogo PB - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
05.09.20	Vila Nova - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWTW
- Manaus FC
Brazilian Serie C
03.10.20	Manaus - Imperatriz de Desportos	1:0 ✺
27.09.20	Remo - Manaus	1:0 ✺
19.09.20	Manaus - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
14.09.20	Manaus - Treze	1:1 ✺
06.09.20	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Manaus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
08.08.20	Manaus - Vila Nova	1:1
Copa do Brasil
13.02.19	Manaus - Vila Nova	1:1

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