Match Info

Date: 9 January 2021, Saturday


	Vila Nova		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.65
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.5	2.85	2.75
	2.64	3.07	2.81
	2.55	2.88	2.8
	2.52	3.04	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.32)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	2.77 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
36.6%

Draw
30.4%

Santa Cruz Recife
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

29%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

21.1%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Cruz Recife, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vila Nova - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 4 and 3).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Vila Nova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vila Nova will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie C
02.01.21	Vila Nova - Brusque	0:3 ✺
26.12.20	Brusque - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
19.12.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
14.12.20	Vila Nova - Ituano	1:2 ✺
05.12.20	Vila Nova - Jacuipense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTWLW
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie C
03.01.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Ituano	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
31.12.20	Aurora - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
29.12.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Guabirá	4:4 ✺
27.12.20	Nacional Potosí - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
26.12.20	Ituano - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
19.12.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Vila Nova	1:2
07.11.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Vila Nova	2:0
05.09.20	Vila Nova - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0
Brazilian Serie B
07.11.17	Vila Nova - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1
18.07.17	Santa Cruz Recife - Vila Nova	1:0
28.10.14	Santa Cruz Recife - Vila Nova	5:1
19.07.14	Vila Nova - Santa Cruz Recife	3:2

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