Match Info

Date: 12 September 2020, Saturday


	Botafogo PB		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.3	3.05	3
	2.45	2.8	2.9
	2.35	2.9	3
	2.43	3.04	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.36)	2.94 ↓ (3.15)	2.97 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
38.4%

Draw
30.9%

Vila Nova
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29.4%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

21%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo PB that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vila Nova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Botafogo PB - Vila Nova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie C (Play Offs)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Vila Nova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Botafogo PB won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo PB won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
05.09.20	Imperatriz de Desportos - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
28.08.20	Jacuipense - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
23.08.20	Botafogo PB - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2 ✺
17.08.20	Botafogo PB - Manaus	0:0 ✺
09.08.20	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Botafogo PB	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLTL
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie C
05.09.20	Vila Nova - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
30.08.20	Remo - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
22.08.20	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Vila Nova	4:0 ✺
15.08.20	Vila Nova - Paysandu	2:0 ✺
08.08.20	Manaus - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
12.09.15	Botafogo PB - Vila Nova	1:2
11.07.15	Vila Nova - Botafogo PB	2:0

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