Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA VERDE - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 12 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)


	Vila Nova		Rio Branco AC ES

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	6.75
	1.4	4	7.5	Watch
	1.4	4.05	7.3
	1.38	3.98	7.3
	1.38	4.15	7.65
	1.4	4	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.64)	4.03 ↑ (3.6)	7.33 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
65.1%

Draw
22.5%

Rio Branco AC ES
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

25.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

23.6%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vila Nova's performance.

Rio Branco AC ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Branco AC ES might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Nova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Branco AC ES could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Vila Nova in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rio Branco AC ES is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vila Nova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vila Nova to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
09.03.24	Vila Nova - Goianésia	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Goianésia - Vila Nova	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Iporá - Vila Nova	1:3 ✺
19.02.24	Vila Nova - Goiânia	2:1 ✺
15.02.24	Vila Nova - Morrinhos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWWW
- Rio Branco AC ES
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
09.03.24	Nova Venécia - Rio Branco AC ES	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Rio Branco AC ES - Noroeste	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
28.02.24	Noroeste - Rio Branco AC ES	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
25.02.24	Nova Venécia - Rio Branco AC ES	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Rio Branco AC ES - Vitória ES	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
11.10.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Vila Nova	✺

Vila Nova - Rio Branco AC ES: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide