Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/32-finals

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Vila Nova		Rio Branco-VN

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.7	7.5
	1.41	3.9	7
	1.52	3.65	7.2
	1.49	3.72	7.6
	1.53	3.57	7.65	Watch
	1.53	3.5	7
	1.5	3.76	7.5
	1.52	3.65	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)	3.68 ↑ (3.6)	7.33 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
62%

Draw
25.3%

Rio Branco-VN
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

25.1%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

24.4%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Rio Branco-VN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco-VN than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Vila Nova - Rio Branco VN Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Halls (G) 18. Arilson 3. Bernardo Schappo 10. Diego Torres 2. Elias 9. Gabriel Poveda 5. Joao Vieira 29. Junior Todinho 4. Tiago Pagnussat 7. Vinicius Paiva 13. Willian Formiga	23. Gabriel Pezao (G) 6. Berriel 2. Betao 8. Canario (C) 5. Jorge Mendes 11. Marcudinho 25. Patrick 7. Renatinho 4. Roberto Junior 3. Ruan Lopes 21. Ruan Major
Substitutes
20. Bruno Mendes 11. Dodo 19. Gabriel Silva 23. Gustavo Paje 16. Higor 6. Igor Inocencio 17. Jean Mota 1. Kaua P. (G) 96. Labandeira F. 15. Paulinho 14. Walisson Maia	10. Arthur Faria 17. Caique Gomes 14. Denis Pedra 15. Gabriel 16. Guilherme 13. Jonathan 1. Pedro (G) 18. Ramon E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Gabriel Poveda ⚽,
12', Patrick 🟨,
24', Patrick 🟨,
34', Renatinho ↓, Denis Pedra ↑,
35', Ruan Major ↓, Gabriel G. d. S. ↑,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', Arilson ↓, Jean Mota ↑,
55', Willian Formiga 🟨,
58', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Bruno Mendes ↑,
58', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Jean Mota ⚽,
66', Roberto Junior ↓, Ramon E. ↑,
66', Gabriel G. d. S. ↓, Guilherme ↑,
69', 🟨,
71', Junior Todinho ↓, Gustavo Paje ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Tiago Pagnussat ⚽,
75', 4 - 0, Diego Torres ⚽,
76', Willian Formiga ↓, Higor ↑,
78', Canario ↓, Jonathan ↑,
81', 5 - 0, Elias ⚽,
84', 6 - 0, Gabriel Silva ⚽,
90+1', Gustavo Paje 🟨,

Preview

Vila Nova in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rio Branco-VN is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vila Nova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Vila Nova have a series of guest games.

In this match Vila Nova is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vila Nova to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
09.03.25	Goiás - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
06.03.25	Vila Nova - Jataiense	0:0 ✺
03.03.25	Jataiense - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
27.02.25	Internacional de Limeira - Vila Nova	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
23.02.25	Jataiense - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTWWW
- Rio Branco-VN
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
09.03.25	Rio Branco-VN - Vitória ES	0:1 penalties ✺
06.03.25	Vitória ES - Rio Branco-VN	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Rio Branco-VN - Porto Vitória	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.02.25	Rio Branco-VN - Amazonas	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
16.02.25	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Rio Branco-VN	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Verde
21.10.21	Vila Nova - Rio Branco-VN	3:0

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