Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 22

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Complexo Desportivo Do Monte Forca (Vila Real)


	Vila Real		Resende

	1	X	2
	2.52	3	2.58
	2.75	3.19	2.34
	2.45	3.21	2.68	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.5
	2.7	3.19	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.17)	3.1 ↑ (3.04)	2.52 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Real
34.8%

Draw
29.3%

Resende
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29.7%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28.6%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Real's form might have worsened.

Resende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Resende's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Real, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resende than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Resende, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vila Real - Resende Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Vila Real have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Resende has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vila Real could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vila Real won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Vila Real
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.03.26	Salgueiros 08 - Vila Real	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Vila Real - Beira-Mar	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Anadia - Vila Real	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Vila Real - Gouveia	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	União Lamas - Vila Real	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWTWL
- GD Resende
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.03.26	Resende - Rebordosa	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Aparecida - Resende	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Vila Meã - Resende	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Resende - Salgueiros 08	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Beira-Mar - Resende	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.11.25	Resende - Vila Real	0:0

Vila Real - Resende: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide