Match Info

Date: 6 February 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Vila Real		São Martinho

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2
	3.45	2.85	2.05
	3.5	3.1	2
	3.65	3	2.07
	3.52	3.2	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.65)	3.03 ↑ (3)	2.03 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Real
25.8%

Draw
29.8%

São Martinho
44.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.1%

30.6%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

23.5%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

São Martinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Real that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Martinho than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Martinho could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Vila Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

São Martinho will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vila Real won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Vila Real
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.22	Tirsense - Vila Real	4:2 ✺
23.01.22	Vila Real - Santa Marta de Penaguião	1:0 ✺
16.01.22	Macedo de Cavaleiros - Vila Real	1:1 ✺
08.01.22	Berço - Vila Real	2:1 ✺
19.12.21	Vila Real - Amarante	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWTLT
- Associação Recreativa de São Martinho
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.01.22	São Martinho - Amarante	3:2 ✺
16.01.22	São Martinho - Paredes	2:3 ✺
09.01.22	Vila Meã - São Martinho	0:0 ✺
19.12.21	São Martinho - Berço	2:0 ✺
12.12.21	Tirsense - São Martinho	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.11.21	São Martinho - Vila Real	1:1
Taça de Portugal
03.09.17	São Martinho - Vila Real	2:1 ET

Vila Real - São Martinho

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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