Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 26

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio João Cardoso (Tondela)

Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Tondela		Benfica B

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.7
	1.93	3.2	3.4
	2.02	3.35	3.6
	2.04	3.4	3.77
	2.03	3.23	3.82	Watch
	2	3.1	3.5
	2.02	3.3	3.74	Watch
	2.02	3.35	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.97)	3.27 ↓ (3.35)	3.64 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tondela
46.2%

Draw
28.3%

Benfica B
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

27.7%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Benfica B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (-1%)

Tondela - Benfica B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bernardo (G) 5. Afonso J. 34. Alves R. (C) 18. Talocha 48. Manso T. 6. Ceitil A. 2. Bebeto 8. Tavares H. 11. Costinha 9. Miro 7. Xavier	75. Gomes A. (G) 82. Spencer D. 81. Bajrami A. 66. Wynder J. 78. Kiko (C) 86. Prioste D. 60. Felix N. 99. Luan 83. Luis R. 84. Rego J. 89. Varela G.
Substitutes
23. Cascavel 26. Cunha N. 43. Joao Cesco 60. Maviram E. 21. Pedro Maranhao 30. Ramos R. 17. Roberto 1. Souza G. (G) 3. Tavares D.	54. Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. 95. de Sousa T. 50. Ferreira D. (G) 62. Lacroix L. 97. Melro J. 72. Okon-Engstler P. 91. Parente T. 73. Souza B. 68. Veloso J.
Coaches
Pinto L.	Verissimo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Xavier ⚽, Talocha (A),
30', Bebeto 🟨,
42', Tavares H. 🟨,
45', Wynder J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Bajrami A. 🟨,
57', Xavier ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
72', Costinha ↓, Pedro Maranhao ↑,
72', Tavares H. ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
73', Wynder J. ↓, Lacroix L. ↑,
73', Luis R. ↓, Melro J. ↑,
78', Manso T. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Prioste D. ⚽, Felix N. (A),
80', Cunha N. 🟨,
83', Manso T. ↓, Roberto ↑,
83', Talocha ↓, Maviram E. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Miro ⚽, Ramos R. (A),
90+1', Spencer D. ↓, Veloso J. ↑,
90+3', Rego J. ↓, Parente T. ↑,
90+3', Luan ↓, Bernardes de Freitas Neto F. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tondela won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tondela will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Tondela won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.5:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Tondela won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
10.03.25	Leixões - Tondela	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Tondela - Torreense	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Académico de Viseu - Tondela	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Tondela - Mafra	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Felgueiras - Tondela	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTWL
- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
09.03.25	Benfica B - Portimonense	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Chaves - Benfica B	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Benfica B - Paços de Ferreira	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Oliveirense - Benfica B	3:2 ✺
07.02.25	Benfica B - Feirense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
26.10.24	Benfica B - Tondela	1:3
28.04.24	Tondela - Benfica B	1:1
17.12.23	Benfica B - Tondela	1:1
Club Friendly
23.07.23	Benfica B - Tondela	3:0
Portuguese Liga 2
05.02.23	Benfica B - Tondela	2:1
12.08.22	Tondela - Benfica B	1:1
15.04.15	Tondela - Benfica B	2:1

Upcoming Matches