Match Info

Date: 14 October 2022, Friday

Location: Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Conegos)


	Moreirense		Vilafranquense

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.8
	1.88	3.2	3.75
	1.85	3.15	4.1
	1.85	3.25	3.95
	1.87	3.22	4.19
	1.83	3.2	4.4
	1.85	3.44	4
	1.9	3.4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.73)	3.26 ↓ (3.53)	4.04 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreirense
49.2%

Draw
28.1%

Vilafranquense
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

25.8%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

24.9%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Vilafranquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moreirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Moreirense - Vilafranquense Predictions

Users Predictions: Moreirense will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Moreirense in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Vilafranquense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Moreirense is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Moreirense to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Moreirense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreirense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
09.10.22	Moreirense - Nacional	3:1 ✺
17.09.22	Penafiel - Moreirense	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Trofense - Moreirense	0:3 ✺
03.09.22	Moreirense - Oliveirense	4:1 ✺
27.08.22	BSAD - Moreirense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWWW
- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
08.10.22	Vilafranquense - Penafiel	0:1 ✺
18.09.22	Farense - Vilafranquense	2:1 ✺
10.09.22	Vilafranquense - Benfica B	3:2 ✺
03.09.22	Porto B - Vilafranquense	0:1 ✺
26.08.22	Vilafranquense - Feirense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
07.08.22	Moreirense - Vilafranquense	1:0

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