Match Info

BRAZIL: Capixaba - Round 9

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Engenheiro Alencar Araripe (Cariacica)


	Vilavelhense		Capixaba SC

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.05	2.55
	2.54	3.02	2.76
	2.59	3.11	2.63	Watch
	2.48	3.1	2.6
	2.65	3.05	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.38)	3.07 ↓ (3.2)	2.62 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilavelhense
35.4%

Draw
29.8%

Capixaba SC
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.3%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

27.4%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilavelhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Capixaba SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilavelhense than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capixaba SC than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Vilavelhense - Capixaba SC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Robert (G) 6. Cristian Santos 4. Gabriel Dembele 11. Gian Carlos 5. Henrique Marcos 9. Italo 10. Joao Firmino 7. Kauan Santos 2. Rickelmi 8. Robert William 3. Vitor Z. (C)	1. Alex (G) 20. Bernardo 17. Diguda 3. Indio 8. Iure 7. Jobson 4. Kaka 9. Marco Damasceno 2. Max 6. Riquelme 5. Waldir Roque
Substitutes
14. Antonio Junior 19. Bruno Paixao 17. Campos Almeida E. d. S. 15. Douglas 16. Fellipi Marques 13. Gabriel Amorim 23. Keyvson 21. Maicon 20. Maycon 18. Peterson 12. Rafael (G) 22. Robert Ribeiro	10. Batioja A. 16. Cafe 11. Costa D. 14. Costa J. 22. Davi Mineiro 19. Douglas 18. Guilherme Mota 24. Joao Pedro 12. Joao Vitor (G) 15. Kaua 13. Rhamon Mexicano 21. Ronieli

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Diguda ⚽,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 1 - 1, ⚽,
77', 1 - 2, Kaka ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Capixaba is Qualified for Capixaba (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Vilavelhense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vilavelhense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Vilavelhense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilavelhense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
17.02.25	Porto Vitória - Vilavelhense	0:1 ✺
12.02.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Vilavelhense	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Vilavelhense - Desportiva Ferroviaria	0:4 ✺
04.02.25	Vitória ES - Vilavelhense	4:0 ✺
02.02.25	Vilavelhense - Nova Venécia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLLLW
- Capixaba SC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
15.02.25	Capixaba SC - Rio Branco AC ES	2:4 ✺
12.02.25	Vitória ES - Capixaba SC	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Capixaba SC - Noroeste	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Rio Branco-VN - Capixaba SC	1:0 ✺
31.01.25	Capixaba SC - Porto Vitória	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Capixaba 2
24.11.24	Capixaba SC - Vilavelhense	1:0
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
28.07.24	Vilavelhense - Capixaba SC	1:0
20.07.24	Capixaba SC - Vilavelhense	2:1
02.06.24	Capixaba SC - Vilavelhense	1:0

Vilavelhense - Capixaba SC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide