Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 18

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Cruz do Reguengo (Vila Verde)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Vilaverdense		Amarante

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.9	3.2	1.8
	4.63	3.48	1.87
				Watch
	4.6	3.4	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↓ (5.2)	3.36 ↓ (3.55)	1.8 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
21.1%

Draw
27.5%

Amarante
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

25.8%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

16.6%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amarante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilaverdense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amarante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Vilaverdense - Amarante Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vilaverdense will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Amarante will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amarante: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
82. Cajo (C) 10. Alves H. 18. Barbosa E. 13. Camara B. 7. Gabriel Vivas 14. Jota R. 9. Neemias 42. Nildo N. 71. Pedro J. 5. Sacko M. 70. Yemi	65. Figueiredo D. (G) 2. Ribeiro O. 4. Filipe J. 64. Vila D. (C) 80. Dinho 8. Helder Pedro 12. Zangre A. 18. Okoli F. 99. Bright 10. Semedo K. 11. Buby
Substitutes
21. Burst J. 2. Coelho V. 90. Diancoumba S. 8. Madaleno D. 33. Monteiro D. 77. Robertson D. 99. Santos D. (G) 4. Zuzarte G.	88. Aguiar E. 30. Antunes Tiago C. J. 9. Cardoso F. 6. Daniel Alves 17. Filipe R. 13. Flores R. (G) 42. Iroanya E. 16. Santos L. 7. Sousa C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Zangre A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Yemi ↓, Diancoumba S. ↑,
67', Jota R. ↓, Burst J. ↑,
71', 🟨,
75', Dinho ↓, Daniel Alves ↑,
77', 🟨,
77', Sacko M. 🟨,
80', Barbosa E. 🟨,
83', Pedro J. 🟨,
87', Zangre A. ↓, Filipe R. ↑,
90+3', Ribeiro O. ↓, Cardoso F. ↑,
90+3', Bright ↓, Sousa C. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

Vilaverdense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )

Vilaverdense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Amarante is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Amarante is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vilaverdense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 3
18.01.25	Braga B - Vilaverdense	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Vilaverdense - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
04.01.25	Varzim - Vilaverdense	3:2 ✺
14.12.24	Vilaverdense - Anadia	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	São João de Ver - Vilaverdense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTL
- Amarante FC
Portuguese Liga 3
18.01.25	Amarante - Fafe	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	Amarante - Braga B	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Lusitânia - Amarante	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Amarante - Varzim	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Anadia - Amarante	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
27.10.24	Amarante - Vilaverdense	1:0

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