Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Cruz do Reguengo (Vila Verde)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Vilaverdense		Braga B

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	1.95
	3.68	3.34	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (4.28)	3.27 ↓ (3.29)	2.02 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
26%

Draw
28.2%

Braga B
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

27.9%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

27.2%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Braga B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilaverdense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braga B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vilaverdense - Braga B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
82. Cajo (G) 21. Burst J. 4. Zuzarte G. 26. Faria J. 13. Camara B. 5. Sacko M. 15. Nico 18. Barbosa E. 10. Alves H. 71. Pedro J. 90. Diancoumba S.	78. Carvalho J. (G) 53. Noro J. 73. Ze Pedro 63. Beirao R. 79. Furtado R. 54. Barbosa G. 85. Nanque E. 65. Dias L. 59. Said Y. 92. Macedo R. 64. Rei R.
Substitutes
2. Coelho V. 23. Ericson 27. Ibrahim A. 14. Jota R. 8. Madaleno D. 9. Neemias 77. Robertson D. 99. Santos D. (G) 70. Yemi	66. Dias G. (G) 48. Diatara S. 44. Dinis G. 72. Ferreira A. 99. Kauan Kelvin 40. Matos Joao 62. Matos N. 70. Mordomo R. 67. Patrao A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Alves H. ↓, Madaleno D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Pedro J. ↓, Neemias ↑,
59', Diancoumba S. ↓, Yemi ↑,
81', Nico ↓, Jota R. ↑,
82', Sacko M. ↓, Ericson ↑,
90+2', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vilaverdense won 2.

Vilaverdense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Braga B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Braga B is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Vilaverdense won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:14 (average 0.9:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Vilaverdense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 3
16.02.25	São João de Ver - Vilaverdense	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Vilaverdense - Amarante	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Braga B - Vilaverdense	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Vilaverdense - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
04.01.25	Varzim - Vilaverdense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLLL
- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
16.02.25	Braga B - Trofense	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Sanjoanense - Braga B	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Braga B - Vilaverdense	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Amarante - Braga B	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	Fafe - Braga B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
18.01.25	Braga B - Vilaverdense	2:1
06.10.24	Vilaverdense - Braga B	0:0
Portuguese Liga 2
21.05.23	Vilaverdense - Braga B	2:1
14.05.23	Braga B - Vilaverdense	0:2
Portuguese Liga 3
07.01.23	Braga B - Vilaverdense	0:0
27.08.22	Vilaverdense - Braga B	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.01.21	Braga B - Vilaverdense	7:0

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