Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 6

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Cruz do Reguengo (Vila Verde)


	Vilaverdense		Varzim

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.26	3.1	2.41
	3.2	3.1	2.33	Watch
	3.08	3.04	2.26
	3	3.1	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.55)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)	2.28 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vilaverdense
29.8%

Draw
29.8%

Varzim
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.5%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

29.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilaverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilaverdense's form might have worsened.

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varzim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilaverdense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varzim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vilaverdense - Varzim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cajo (G) 10. Alves H. 7. Barbosa E. 8. Claudio I. 2. Coelho V. 17. Ibrahim A. 14. Madaleno D. 9. Neemias 4. Neto L. 19. Niambele B. 18. Yemi	49. Costa P. (G) 22. Araujo C. 70. Lapas Montenegro L. M. 19. Lopes A. 23. Monteiro J. 99. Moshood M. 3. Nuno P. 6. Pacheco F. 32. Pedrosa R. 9. Silva Nhaga I. 55. Ze Oliveira
Substitutes
13. Camara B. 20. Dica 3. Monteiro D. 11. Robertson D. 5. Sacko M. 12. Santos D. (G) 16. Zuzarte G.	13. Freitas R. 80. Gomes A. 4. Henriques L. 25. Lima da Silva T. 5. Milhazes A. 51. Momo Mbaye (G) 8. Oliveira R. 2. Pimenta G. 17. Sequeira D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', Moshood M. 🟨,
5', 1 - 0, Neemias ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Silva Nhaga I. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, Moshood M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Lopes A. 🟨,
60', Madaleno D. ↓, Sacko M. ↑,
60', Claudio I. ↓, Camara B. ↑,
66', Lapas Montenegro L. M. ↓, Oliveira R. ↑,
68', Araujo C. ↓, Lima da Silva T. ↑,
69', Ze Oliveira ↓, Freitas R. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Freitas R. ⚽,
90', 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Vilaverdense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Varzim will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vilaverdense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Vilaverdense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilaverdense FC
Taça de Portugal
08.09.24	Dumiense - Vilaverdense	2:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
01.09.24	Anadia - Vilaverdense	1:2 ✺
25.08.24	Vilaverdense - São João de Ver	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	Trofense - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
10.08.24	Vilaverdense - Sanjoanense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWTLT
- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 3
31.08.24	Varzim - Amarante	1:3 ✺
24.08.24	Braga B - Varzim	0:0 ✺
16.08.24	Varzim - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
10.08.24	Varzim - Fafe	0:2 ✺
03.08.24	Anadia - Varzim	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
25.02.23	Vilaverdense - Varzim	0:0
12.11.22	Varzim - Vilaverdense	2:2

Vilaverdense - Varzim: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide