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Current Win Probability
Varzim 30.8%
Draw 37%
Fafe 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
28.7%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
27.6%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varzim's form might have worsened.
Fafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varzim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Varzim - Fafe Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Varzim will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Varzim (3.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
EH -1 - Varzim (3.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
1X2, 1st Half - Varzim (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Varzim (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
49. Costa P. (G) 3. Nuno P. 32. Rego R. 71. Filipe L. 31. Talocha 27. Boloto 8. Oliveira R. (C) 17. Sequeira D. 77. Franca F. 84. Ayiah E. 9. Freitas R.
64. Martins T. (G) 4. Teixeira L. 15. Breno 26. Batista J. 85. Castro D. 8. Braga V. 35. Cardoso F. (C) 60. Ribeiro Oliveira J. 10. Ka 95. Fonseca T. 77. Carlos Daniel
Substitutes
11. Benchi D. 4. Chicao 20. Derick 14. Graca H. 5. Milhazes A. 1. Nelson P. (G) 99. Pedro Clemente 2. Pimenta G. 45. Rebelo M.
20. Amorim J. 1. Damaso N. (G) 21. Davis SIlva 11. Picas 78. Pinto G. 9. Santos J. 79. Teixeira T. 7. Veiga T. 13. Vigario J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Boloto 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Rego R. ⚽,
57', Braga V. ↓, Amorim J. ↑,
58', Castro D. 🟨,
60', Sequeira D. ↓, Chicao ↑,
60', Freitas R. ↓, Pedro Clemente ↑,
64', Oliveira R. 🟨,
65', Fonseca T. ↓, Santos J. ↑,
65', Carlos Daniel ↓, Veiga T. ↑,
67', Ayiah E. 🟨,
71', Ayiah E. ↓, Benchi D. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Breno ⚽,
75', Breno ↓, Vigario J. ↑,
76', Castro D. ↓, Picas ↑,
78', Santos J. 🟨,
80', Pedro Clemente 🟨,
84', Franca F. ↓, Derick ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Fafe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Varzim is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Varzim won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Varzim won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Fafe - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.97%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Portugal
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Costa P. (G) 
Ayiah E. 
Ka 
Carlos Daniel 
Picas 
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